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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             9    2   11     Gk Hayden Barnes           9    2   11
Sw Sean Carroll            4    2    6     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    13    1   14
Df Sean Callahan          14    2   16     Df Kenny White             9    2   11
Df Agostino Beretta       16    2   18     Df Thomás Lebre            8    2   10
Df Mathias Sørensen        9    2   11     Df Reis  Golan             4    2    6
Df Ciaran Healy            4    2    6     Mf Jonathan Heddle        14   -1   13
Mf Fernando Rocha          9    1   10     Mf Victor Shepard          9   -2    7
Mf Bailey Oakes            4    2    6     Mf Nathan Dean             4    2    6
Fw Matais Juarez          15    2   17     Mf David Perry             4    2    6
Fw Michael Turner          9    2   11     Fw Nathan Phillips         8    1    9
Fw Jens Kristensen         4    2    6     Fw Philipp Hoffmann        4    0    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  6 51 16 34        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 41 32 13    
       3  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  9 51 19 34         T O T A L S       14  0 41 34 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 85.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 29.14 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.23 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.05 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 12.73 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.32 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.08 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.67 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 98.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.87 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.46 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.15 (no red card)

Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.37 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.66 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.14 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.53 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.04 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.52 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.4 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.98 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.27 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.53 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.22 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.88 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.77 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.61 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.28 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.78 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 35.32 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 69.7 (no injury) 
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.41 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.01 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 25.2 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 37.98 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.83 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.86 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.74 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.71 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.06 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 9

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jonathan Heddle SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         14   9  51  19  34
  Luton Town FC            14   0  41  34  13

Luton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 41)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 13 ((51 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 48.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Luton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14   0  41  34  13
  Tonbridge Angels         14   9  51  19  34

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 51)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((34 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((41 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Kenny White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
We have done well to get this far. Can we make the semifinals?
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:43 AM
Very tough match up here. We shall hope for the best for LUT...and best of luck to you, Andy!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/22 - 3:32 PM
Thanks Mike. Very happy to get the win and a semifinal place.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/27 - 3:34 PM
 
 
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