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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leon Dickson            7    2    9     Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19
Sw Ryan James             11   -1   10     Sw Aarron Lowe            16    2   18
Df Joshua Evans            9    1   10     Df Louis Butler           13    2   15
Df Dylan Cameron           5    2    7     Df Lee Robertson          13    2   15
Df Jeff Charlton           4    2    6     Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    2   15
Mf Giles Walsh             8    2   10     Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16
Mf Gast?n Franco           8    2   10     Fw Marty Allen            14    1   15
Mf Federico Gentile        4    2    6     Fw Reuben Thomas          14    2   16
Fw Alfred Forsberg        14    1   15     Fw Paul Ellis             13    2   15
Fw Jonas Lien              5    2    7     Fw Isaac Howells          12    1   13
Fw Rhys McColl             4    2    6     Fw Sheng Hé                9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 10 23 26 28        ROSTER TOTALS      19 18 30 31 70    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 10 32 26 28         T O T A L S       22 18 30 31 70    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no red card)

Sw Ryan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.99 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.91 (no red card)

Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.23 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.16 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.96 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.92 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.84 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.4 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 71.66 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.39 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.58 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.3 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.55 (no second yellow)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.38 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.35 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.24 (no red card)

Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.95 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leon Dickson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 97.05 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.91 (no injury) 
Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.2 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.21 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.01 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.2 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.68 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.86 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.9 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.53 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.96 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.68 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.63 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.5 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.1 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfred Forsberg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 81 (pk blocked)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Leon Dickson SL 7

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          9  10  32  26  28
  AFC Wimbledon            22  18  30  31  70

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 30)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            22  18  30  31  70
  Carlton Town FC          9  10  32  26  28

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 38 (70 - 32); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 42

1: Attack for Df Louis Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 43.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 56.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 49.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 47.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
39: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 3
 
Match Notes
This one should be a tight match
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/01 - 5:57 PM
Going to be tough on the road today
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/06 - 12:45 PM
this looks slightly one sided to me
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 07/06 - 1:37 PM
Total domination
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/07 - 8:04 AM
 
 
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