(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
FA Shield Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ryan Caron 15 2 17 Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18
Df Mason Shaw 14 2 16 Sw Sylar Mack 12 2 14
Df Thomas McIntyre 13 2 15 Df Steven Gascoigne 14 2 16
Df Luca Lorimar 12 2 14 Df Louie Hill 11 2 13
Mf Ryan White 14 2 16 Df Melvin Bergman 10 2 12
Mf Owen Roberts 13 2 15 Mf Simon Fischer 17 2 19
Mf Lewis Coppell 12 2 14 Mf Alvaro Madrigal 14 2 16
Mf Mons Nygård 12 2 14 Fw Baron Marshall 16 2 18
Mf William Carney 10 2 12 Fw Ben Byrne 13 2 15
Fw Jermaine Bennett 14 1 15 Fw Lawrence Clark 13 1 14
Fw Agustin Martínez 13 2 15 Fw Noah Schäfer 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 0 45 71 30 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 41 35 58
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 0 54 71 30 T O T A L S 21 14 41 35 60
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.53 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 10.69 (no red card)
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.86 (no red card)
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.08 (no red card)
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.34 (no red card)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.72 (no red card)
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.38 (no red card)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)
Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.14 (no second yellow)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.56 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.82 (no red card)
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.47 (no second yellow)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.21 (no red card)
Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.0 (no red card)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no red card)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.72 (no red card)
Mf Alvaro Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.38 (no red card)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.35 (no red card)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.01 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury)
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.42 (no injury)
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury)
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.6 (no injury)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.33 (no injury)
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no injury)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.55 (no injury)
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.79 (no injury)
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.45 (no injury)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.1 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.9 (no injury)
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.27 (no injury)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.89 (no injury)
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.99 (no injury)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.44 (no injury)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.62 (no injury)
Mf Alvaro Madrigal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.52 (no injury)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.28 (no injury)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.25 (no injury)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.74 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.31 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mason Shaw SL 14
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16
intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
- Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 54 71 30
FC United of Manchester 21 14 41 35 60
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 41)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((71 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 32.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 57.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 55.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 14.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 21 14 41 35 60
Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 54 71 30
Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 3 (60 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 71) / 2; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 4 ((41 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df Louie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Melvin Bergman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Louie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
Match Notes
Kevin td me to bet on John here to tilt Vegas odds and offer a distraction
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/18 - 6:05 AM
John schmoozing with Al in person in WI this week. Codes may have been passed.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/18 - 6:10 AM
On paper, we were toast anyway. John has his team stacked this season
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/18 - 5:41 PM
Tale of Gks here. FCU’s Martin saved 7 shots. Caron was 0-for-2 on 7 chances total. Unlucky for John today
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/24 - 3:35 PM