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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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York City FC
James Tucker
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
FA Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17     Gk Ethan Flynn            17    2   19
Df Arran Wood             14    2   16     Sw Abel Ríos              12    2   14
Df Maximillian Beerman    15    1   16     Df Mark Shaw              14    2   16
Df Tom Cole               13    2   15     Df Carrington Morrissey   13    2   15
Df Sebastian Parra        15    1   16     Df Joseph Allison         11    2   13
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez       13    0   13     Mf Michael Reilly         12    2   14
Mf Ethan Marsh             9    2   11     Mf Michael Reed           10    2   12
Fw Nicola Marino          15    1   16     Fw Gabriel Lee            19    2   21
Fw Juan Acosta            14    2   16     Fw Joe Lennon             13    2   15
Fw Tom Beerman            13    1   14     Fw Alexander Fraser       13    2   15
Fw Michael White          12    2   14     Fw Bobby Sherman          12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 63 24 60        ROSTER TOTALS      19 14 44 26 65    
       0  0  2  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  3  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 65 24 60         T O T A L S       22 17 44 26 70    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card)

Df Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.98 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.72 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.45 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.56 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.92 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.07 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.43 (no second yellow)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.82 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.47 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 7.06 (no red card)

Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)

Df Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.3 (no red card)

Df Carrington Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.31 (no red card)

Df Joseph Allison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.88 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.5 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.47 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.44 (no red card)

Fw Bobby Sherman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 1.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Marcus Mathisen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marcus Mathisen new match skill level =  8
      Marcus Mathisen new match total level =  10
Df Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 37.88 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 77.58 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.44 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.89 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 17.99 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 52.12 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 54.25 (no injury) 
Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 18.35 (no injury) 
Df Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.11 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Morrissey: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 20.7 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Allison: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.29 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.2 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reed: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 23.27 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.54 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.22 (no injury) 
Fw Bobby Sherman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Maximillian Beerman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Flynn SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Lee SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             13   0  65  24  60
  Halifax Town AFC         22  17  44  26  70

York City FC Fw Attacks = 16 (60 - 44); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 70) / 5;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 62.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 85.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 70.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         22  17  44  26  70
  York City FC             13   0  65  24  60

Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (70 - 65); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Michael Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Bobby Sherman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 0  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 3
 
Match Notes
I think YOR going to win, James.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/06 - 1:34 AM
I think YOR going to win, Vick.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/06 - 1:34 AM
The predictors think Vick doesn't have a snowball's chance in HAL.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/06 - 2:44 AM
for sure it looks as if we will bow out here
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 07/06 - 1:38 PM
Halifax brought their scoring boots
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/07 - 8:11 AM
yes it made a change!
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 07/12 - 9:04 PM
 
 
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