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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:54:34 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            15    1   16     Gk Lee Calhoun            11    2   13
Df Jamie Aikenhead         3    2    5     Sw Daniel Clarke          12    0   12
Df Alejandro García       10    0   10     Df Barry Lane             13    1   14
Df Jed Dury                5    2    7     Df Ethan Shaw             13    1   14
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald      16    1   17     Df Gabriel Carvalho       10    1   11
Mf Baron Fisher           10    1   11     Df Anton Berggren          9    1   10
Mf Nigel Howells          10    2   12     Mf Carlos Torres          14    1   15
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald        6    2    8     Mf Luis Weber             10    1   11
Mf Harry Pastor           11    1   12     Mf Tom Fortune-West        5    2    7
Fw Ben Butcher            11    1   12     Fw Frank Gerrard          13    1   14
Fw Peter Harding           5    2    7     Fw Carleton Baker         10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 22 60 19        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 49 33 25    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  8  0  1       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 30 60 20         T O T A L S       16 12 49 33 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 88.22 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.98 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.44 (no red card)

Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.86 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.62 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.61 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.01 (no second yellow)

Mf Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.39 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.65 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.65 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.47 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.92 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.95 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.49 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.36 (no red card)

Df Anton Berggren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.12 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.28 (no red card)

Mf Luis Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.17 (no red card)

Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.79 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.73 (no red card)

Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 26.12 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jamie Aikenhead is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.01 (no injury) 
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.38 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.29 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.93 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.53 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.46 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.91 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 89.44 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.65 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.58 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.87 (no injury) 
Df Anton Berggren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.26 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.03 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.46 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.49 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.35 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tyrone Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Lee Calhoun SL 11

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Torres SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            17   0  30  60  20
  York City FC             16  12  49  33  25

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 49)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 14 ((60 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Alejandro García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Kenny Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             16  12  49  33  25
  AFC Wimbledon            17   0  30  60  20

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 30)
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 10 ((49 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Anton Berggren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Barry Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Barry Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Barry Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  YORK CITY FC 3
 
Match Notes
Shaky GK early for the Dons….hoping Matty finds his form soon!
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/18 - 8:10 PM
 
 
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