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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Kenzie Ross            15    2   17
Sw Keith Davis             8    1    9     Df Aarron Lowe            15    2   17
Df Steven Gascoigne       13    2   15     Df Oscar Evans             8    2   10
Df Diego Acosta            8    2   10     Df Ryan Barber             3    2    5
Df Finlay Butcher          4    2    6     Df Leo Beckham             2    2    4
Mf Glen Banks              8    2   10     Mf Manuel Iglesias         8    2   10
Mf Kian Sansom             4    2    6     Mf Nigel Howells           3    2    5
Mf Owen MacLean            4    2    6     Mf Baron Fisher            3    2    5
Fw Baron Marshall         16    2   18     Fw Marty Allen            18    2   20
Fw Noah Schäfer            8    2   10     Fw Carrington Bates        8    2   10
Fw Harley Dowson           4    2    6     Fw Harry Pastor            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  9 31 22 34        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 36 20 40    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  1  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 10 31 22 34         T O T A L S       20  0 36 20 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.15 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.96 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.67 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.38 (no red card)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.09 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.03 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.38 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.3 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.63 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.54 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 95.26 (no red card)

Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.98 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.76 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.17 (no red card)

Df Leo Beckham: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.91 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.65 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.67 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.43 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Baron Fisher new match skill level =  2
      Baron Fisher new match total level =  4

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.89 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.85 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.72 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.87 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.7 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.41 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.81 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.33 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.42 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.58 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.52 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.05 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.76 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.8 (no injury) 
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.98 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.13 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.77 (no injury) 
Df Leo Beckham: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.21 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.82 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.32 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.86 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Baron Marshall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Allen SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  20  10  31  22  34
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  36  19  40

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 36)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  36  19  40
  FC United of Manchester  20  10  31  22  34

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 9 (40 - 31); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((36 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Aarron Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 80.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
Match Notes
Some reward for finally beating Ian in the Youth Cup. 9-time finalist Dave D
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/10 - 3:13 PM
I never realised until today - Dave has been to 9 youth cup finals and lost all of them. Perhaps some GPP need to be saved in future...
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/12 - 11:56 PM
Rough luck, Kevin.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/15 - 5:16 PM
Jussssst beyond our keeper’s reach by the % rolled. Hard to get the upset two weekends in a row. Congrats, Dave
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/18 - 5:38 PM
 
 
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