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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo O'Neill             2    2    4     Gk Wim Cryuff             16    2   18
Sw Declan Wilson          16    2   18     Sw Rendor Veres            8    2   10
Df Leo McNeill             9    2   11     Df Shay  Carr             13    2   15
Df Elias Müller            8    2   10     Df Christopher McLachlan   8    1    9
Df Florian Schmid          4    2    6     Df Valentin Peralta        4    2    6
Mf Kenzie Munro            8    2   10     Mf Lior Tal                8    2   10
Mf Cliff Cooper            4    2    6     Mf Francis Brakspear       4    2    6
Fw André Souza            14    2   16     Fw Carsten Petersen       15    2   17
Fw Leon Fischer           13    2   15     Fw Markus Laursen          8    2   10
Fw Cole Hamilton           8    2   10     Fw Abe Chavez              4    2    6
Fw Mark Wilson             8    2   10     Fw Edvard Jørgensen        2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4 18 27 16 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 30 16 37    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       4 21 27 17 51         T O T A L S       21 10 30 16 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo O'Neill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.83 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.53 (no red card)

Df Elias Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.02 (no red card)

Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.21 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.35 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.65 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.04 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card)

Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.43 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.11 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.83 (no red card)

Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.62 (no second yellow)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.68 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.08 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.87 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.59 (no red card)

Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.49 (no red card)

Fw Edvard Jørgensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo O'Neill: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 96.83 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.77 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) 
Df Elias Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.81 (no injury) 
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.3 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.15 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.35 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.49 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.77 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.97 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.98 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.06 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury) 
Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.63 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.48 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.42 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.58 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.26 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.61 (no injury) 
Fw Edvard Jørgensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Souza SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carsten Petersen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leo O'Neill SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         4  21  27  17  51
  Burton Albion FC         21  10  30  16  37

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (51 - 30); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((17 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mark Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 61.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 67.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 58.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         21  10  30  16  37
  Ilkeston Town FC         4  21  27  17  51

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 10 (37 - 27); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 17) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 76.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 62.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Edvard Jørgensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 62.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 1  -  BURTON ALBION FC 3
 
Match Notes
You can never have too many Youth Coaches.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/08 - 7:52 PM
A bit unlucky: xG was around 1 for both teams though we would have lost a penalty shootout.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/15 - 10:34 PM
 
 
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