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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden

Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kevin Hawkins 8 2 10 Gk Ryan Caron 15 2 17 Df Markus Jacobsen 13 2 15 Df Evan Burke 8 2 10 Df Gareth Trickelbank 8 2 10 Df Cliff Trickelbank 8 -1 7 Df Axel Lacour 4 2 6 Df Daniel Baldwin 4 2 6 Mf Niklas König 13 2 15 Mf Ryan Ludley 8 2 10 Mf Christopher Cannon 8 2 10 Mf Lucas Phillips 4 2 6 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 4 2 6 Fw Jermaine Bennett 13 1 14 Fw William Hay 14 2 16 Fw Sean Moore 10 2 12 Fw Sam East 8 2 10 Fw Raphaël Soulie 8 2 10 Fw Fernando Cano 4 2 6 Fw Joe Baker 4 2 6 Fw Jose Soria 3 2 5 Fw Aidan Anderson 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 0 31 31 37 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 23 16 48 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 0 31 31 37 T O T A L S 18 0 23 17 50 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.51 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 85.8 (no red card) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.31 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.91 (no second yellow) Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.53 (no red card) Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card) Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.17 (no red card) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.6 (no red card) Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card) Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.06 (no red card) Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.58 (no red card) Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.24 (no red card) Fw Jose Soria: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.12 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 100.0 (no second yellow) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 31.48 (no red card) Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.7 (no red card) Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.5 (no red card) Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.77 (no red card) Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.01 (no red card) Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.92 (no red card) Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.55 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.75 (no red card) Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.89 (no second yellow) Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.52 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1 - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no injury) Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.87 (no injury) Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.81 (no injury) Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.94 (no injury) Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.29 (no injury) Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.24 (no injury) Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.78 (no injury) Fw Jose Soria: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.91 (no injury) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury) Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.66 (no injury) Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.23 (no injury) Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.9 (no injury) Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no injury) Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no injury) Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.44 (no injury) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.65 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no injury) Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no injury) Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: William Hay SL 14 - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jermaine Bennett SL 13 - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 13 0 31 31 37 Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 23 17 50 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 14 (37 - 23); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 7 ((31 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 5; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 21 1: Attack for Mf Niklas König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Niklas König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Niklas König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Niklas König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Jose Soria Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Jose Soria Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Supermarine FC 18 0 23 17 50 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 13 0 31 31 37 AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap! Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 10 (50 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 37) / 5; rounded up) Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Fw Joe Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 41.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Joe Baker Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Sean Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 3 - SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
Match Notes

Offside trap really helped here along with the lucky penalty
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/15 - 10:05 PM