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Sunday, February 22nd, 2026 - 05:45:01 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             13    2   15     Gk Liam Honeybun          13    2   15
Df Mason Shaw             10    2   12     Sw Robin Spoor            14    2   16
Df Jared Lampton           8    2   10     Df Harley Heskey           8    2   10
Df Ahmed Alaoui            4    2    6     Df Bryan Martin            4    2    6
Mf Ryan Ludley            12    2   14     Fw George Armstrong       13    2   15
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       8    2   10     Mf Algernon Harvey         8    2   10
Mf Jay Campbell            4    2    6     Mf Francisco Reyes         4    2    6
Mf Francis Jankel          4    2    6     Fw Marco Beerman           8    2   10
Fw Leo O'Donnell           8    2   10     Fw Oscar Williams          8    2   10
Fw Tyler MacDonald         8    2   10     Fw Gregg Smith             4    2    6
Fw Kai Roberts             4    2    6     Fw André Ribeiro           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 28 36 26        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 16 16 47    
       0  0  2  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  2  4  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 32 40 26         T O T A L S       18 16 16 16 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.47 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.44 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.02 (no red card)

Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.28 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.6 (no red card)

Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.99 (no red card)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.08 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.38 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.62 (no red card)

Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.49 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 25.34 (no red card)

Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.72 (no red card)

Df Harley Heskey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.29 (no red card)

Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.43 (no red card)

Fw George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.45 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.78 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.02 (no red card)

Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.56 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.45 (no red card)

Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 20.17 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.29 (no injury) 
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 45.53 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.89 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 74.15 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 73.74 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.94 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 17.05 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 3.77 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) 
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.48 (no injury) 
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 65.59 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury) 
Fw George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.13 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 24.24 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) 
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 41.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.66 (no injury) 
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Ludley SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Liam Honeybun SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: George Armstrong SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  32  40  26
  Kendal Town FC           18  16  16  16  47

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 10 (26 - 16); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((40 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 47) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           18  16  16  16  47
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  32  40  26

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (47 - 32); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Gregg Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Gregg Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
These two managers matched up on the real football pitch in Madison, Wisconsin in 1999...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 1:45 AM
Kendall playing with house money after stealing a win in round 1…..go hurt somebody JB
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/21 - 2:49 PM
After justice was done in round 1, we will try our best to do the same today, against a presumably tougher opponent.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/21 - 4:32 PM
 
 
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