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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             8    2   10     Gk Jake Flynn             15    2   17
Sw Sean Carroll            4    2    6     Sw Ian Moore               8    2   10
Df Luke Crowley           13    2   15     Df Francisco Vera         13    2   15
Df Agostino Beretta       16    1   17     Df Lok Guo                 8    2   10
Df Mathias Sørensen        8    2   10     Df Max Hermansson          4    2    6
Df Ciaran Healy            4    2    6     Df Harley Ford             2    2    4
Mf Joe Barrett            15    2   17     Mf Marco Rizzo            19    2   21
Mf Fernando Rocha          8    0    8     Mf Kyle Moore              8   -2    6
Mf Bailey Oakes            4    2    6     Mf Christian Kilkenny      4    2    6
Fw Michael Turner          8    2   10     Fw Alexander Stewart       8    2   10
Fw Jens Kristensen         4    2    6     Fw Zak Bell                4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  6 48 31 16        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 35 33 16    
       3  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  9 48 31 20         T O T A L S       20 10 35 33 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 10.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 82.97 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 33.34 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.21 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.37 (no second yellow)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 15.28 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.89 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.81 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.81 (no red card)

Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.05 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no red card)

Df Harley Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no red card)

Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.66 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.66 (no red card)

Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.65 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.15 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 67.53 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.86 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.45 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.1 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.87 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.82 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.98 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.08 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.08 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.17 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 13.65 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.16 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.48 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.95 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury) 
Df Harley Ford: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.93 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.23 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) 
Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.52 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.35 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 15

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marco Rizzo SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13   9  48  31  20
  Bedford Town FC          20  10  35  33  16

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 35)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 11 ((48 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 50.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 5.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          20  10  35  33  16
  Tonbridge Angels         13   9  48  31  20

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 48)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((33 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 71.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Max Hermansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Marco Rizzo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Tonbridge Angels Gk (Home): Luca Werner SL 8

   - Bedford Town FC Gk (Away): Jake Flynn SL 15

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Agostino Beretta (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 1  :  BED - 0)

 Round 1: Marco Rizzo (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 1  :  BED - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Joe Barrett (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 76 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 2  :  BED - 1)

 Round 2: Jake Flynn (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 66 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 2  :  BED - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Luke Crowley (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 36 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 3  :  BED - 2)

 Round 3: Francisco Vera (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 65 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 3  :  BED - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Luca Werner (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 4  :  BED - 3)

 Round 4: Ian Moore (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 4  :  BED - 4)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Mathias Sørensen (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 5  :  BED - 4)

 Round 5: Lok Guo (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 5  :  BED - 5)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Fernando Rocha (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 6  :  BED - 5)

 Round 6: Kyle Moore (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 6  :  BED - 6)

************   ROUND 7    ************
 Round 7: Michael Turner (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 7  :  BED - 6)

 Round 7: Alexander Stewart (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 7  :  BED - 7)

************   ROUND 8    ************
 Round 8: Sean Carroll (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 36% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TON - 8  :  BED - 7)

 Round 8: Max Hermansson (BED) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 65 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TON - 8  :  BED - 7)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 8  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 7
 
Match Notes
These games are hard to call. Anything can happen. Good luck Simon.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/13 - 10:32 PM
Maybe the semi final took it out of us
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/15 - 7:09 PM
He’s only gone and done me twice in one session. Damn it
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/15 - 7:11 PM
I can’t believe our keeper came out on top in the penalty shootout.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:39 AM
 
 
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