(N)
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Youth Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BEDFORD TOWN FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gianluca De Luca 11 2 13 Gk Dylan Foster 14 0 14
Sw Ian Moore 4 2 6 Sw Jamie Johnson 8 2 10
Df Theo Crowley 10 2 12 Df Robin Ostrander 12 2 14
Df Francisco Vera 7 2 9 Df Kenny White 7 2 9
Df Lok Guo 4 2 6 Df Louis Turner 6 2 8
Mf Stefan Jensen 10 2 12 Df Thomás Lebre 3 2 5
Mf Jeff Shilton 7 2 9 Mf Jonathan Heddle 7 2 9
Mf Kyle Moore 4 2 6 Mf Victor Shepard 4 2 6
Fw Corey Page 7 2 9 Fw Nils Schneider 13 2 15
Fw Gonzalo Soler 7 2 9 Fw Facundo Bruno 7 2 9
Fw Alexander Stewart 4 2 6 Fw Jamie Carroll 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 6 27 27 24 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 36 15 33
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 6 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 6 27 27 30 T O T A L S 14 10 36 15 33
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.35 (no red card)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no red card)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.6 (no red card)
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.2 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no second yellow)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.95 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.81 (no red card)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.97 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.04 (no second yellow)
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.99 (no red card)
Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.62 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.71 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.32 (no second yellow)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.2 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.26 (no red card)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.18 (no red card)
Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.22 (no red card)
Df Louis Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.01 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.61 (no red card)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.57 (no second yellow)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.96 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.31 (no injury)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.82 (no injury)
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.79 (no injury)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.92 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.8 (no injury)
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.02 (no injury)
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.25 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.14 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.54 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.11 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no injury)
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.73 (no injury)
Df Louis Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.09 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.19 (no injury)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.08 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.46 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Theo Crowley SL 10
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nils Schneider SL 13
- Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 11
intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 13 6 27 27 30
Luton Town FC 14 10 36 15 33
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 36)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((27 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 33) / 3; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Stefan Jensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 14 10 36 15 33
Bedford Town FC 13 6 27 27 30
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (33 - 27); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Louis Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 51.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T
===============================================
- Bedford Town FC Gk (Home): Gianluca De Luca SL 11
- Luton Town FC Gk (Away): Dylan Foster SL 14
************ ROUND 1 ************
Round 1: Gianluca De Luca (BED) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BED - 1 : LUT - 0)
Round 1: Dylan Foster (LUT) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 100 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BED - 1 : LUT - 0)
************ ROUND 2 ************
Round 2: Theo Crowley (BED) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 36 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BED - 2 : LUT - 0)
Round 2: Nils Schneider (LUT) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 90 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BED - 2 : LUT - 0)
************ ROUND 3 ************
Round 3: Stefan Jensen (BED) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 30 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BED - 3 : LUT - 0)
Round 3: Robin Ostrander (LUT) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BED - 3 : LUT - 1)
************ ROUND 4 ************
Round 4: Francisco Vera (BED) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BED - 4 : LUT - 1)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
===============================================
P K S H O O T O U T
BEDFORD TOWN FC 4 - LUTON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
OLMEC’d in the PK battle here. Our top to the line could not score. Best of luck ahead, Simon!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/23 - 12:44 PM