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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            15    0   15     Gk Ramon Garcia           12    2   14
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    0   13     Df Thiago Carvalho        11    2   13
Df Thomas McIntyre        11    2   13     Df Luke Collins           11    0   11
Df Luca Lorimar           10    1   11     Df Kieran Shilton          6    2    8
Mf William Carney         13    1   14     Df Pedro Almeida           3    2    5
Mf Liam Murphy            16    0   16     Mf Fearghas Douglas       11    0   11
Mf Mons Nygård            11    1   12     Mf Francisco Alvarez      10    2   12
Mf Ryan White              6    2    8     Mf Eirik Paulsen           6    2    8
Mf Lewis Coppell           6    2    8     Fw Kian Williams          13   -1   12
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Takeo Nakamura         11    2   13
Fw Agustin Martínez       10    2   12     Fw Billy Arnold            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 37 58 27        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 37 31 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 37 67 27         T O T A L S       14  0 37 31 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.13 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.62 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.14 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.77 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.46 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.33 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.19 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.21 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.76 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.23 (no red card)

Df Luke Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no red card)

Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.78 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.49 (no red card)

Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.7 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.84 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.3 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.99 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.98 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.93 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Luca Lorimar is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luca Lorimar new match skill level =  5
      Luca Lorimar new match total level =  6
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.36 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.07 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.09 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.32 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.42 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.22 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) 
Df Luke Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no injury) 
Df Kieran Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.4 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury) 
Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.4 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.98 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.38 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.91 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 12

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kian Williams SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 15

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15   0  32  67  27
  Hyde FC                  14   0  37  31  33

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 37)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((67 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 33) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  14   0  37  31  33
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15   0  32  67  27

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 1 (33 - 32); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 67) / 2;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 2 ((37 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Kieran Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Kieran Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  HYDE FC 1
 
Match Notes
A very difficult away fixture
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/26 - 8:20 AM
Wasn’t expecting much from this game by
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/02 - 9:52 AM
 
 
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