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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maximilian Isaksson    15    2   17     Gk Ryan Caron             14    2   16
Df Theo Cole               6    1    7     Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15
Df Mateo Hernández         5    2    7     Df Mason Shaw              8    2   10
Df Mathias Garreau         4    2    6     Df Cliff Trickelbank       4    2    6
Df Felipe Cardoso          4    2    6     Df Evan Burke              4    2    6
Mf William Pedersen        7    2    9     Mf Ryan White              8    2   10
Mf Conor Farrell           6    2    8     Mf Lewis Coppell           8    2   10
Mf Alfredo Vargas          3    2    5     Mf Ryan Ludley             4    2    6
Mf Martin Kristensen       3    2    5     Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15
Fw Tom Stevenson           9    0    9     Fw Jermaine Bennett        8    2   10
Fw Adam Shaw               9    0    9     Fw Raphaël Soulie          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 26 27 18        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 37 26 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 26 27 18         T O T A L S       18  0 37 26 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.72 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.99 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.49 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.85 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.52 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.57 (no red card)

Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.61 (no red card)

Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.04 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.88 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.18 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.85 (no second yellow)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.63 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.93 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.16 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.69 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.23 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.47 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.84 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.21 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.98 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.26 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.76 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.9 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.67 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.95 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.65 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.36 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.17 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 14

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pablo Arboleda SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 15

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  26  27  18
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  37  26  35

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 37)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  37  26  35
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  26  27  18

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 9 (35 - 26); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Cliff Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Evan Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Cliff Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 4
 
Match Notes
will give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/19 - 10:12 PM
 
 
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