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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Carlton Town FC
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Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Guillaume Hebert       16    2   18     Gk João Costa              7    2    9
Df Ryan Barber            13    2   15     Sw Connor Pearson          6    2    8
Df Elias Schneider         7    2    9     Df Francis Martin         12    2   14
Df Luca Hunter             4    2    6     Df Carleton Griffiths      7    2    9
Mf Callum Blake            7    2    9     Df Luiz Silva              3    2    5
Mf Terry Thwaite           3    2    5     Mf Charlie Hayes          12    1   13
Mf Robert Walton           2    2    4     Mf Oscar Zapata            6    2    8
Fw Ben Butcher            16    2   18     Mf Ariza Carvalho          3    2    5
Fw Brian Sanchez           7    2    9     Fw Trevor Hanny           13    2   15
Fw Alistair Lindsay        5    2    7     Fw Hayden Richardson       7    2    9
Fw Arne Jensen             3    2    5     Fw Nicolás Ramírez         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 30 18 39        ROSTER TOTALS       9  8 28 26 29    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 30 18 39         T O T A L S        9  8 28 26 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 77.6 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.49 (no red card)

Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.78 (no red card)

Df Luca Hunter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.97 (no second yellow)

Mf Callum Blake: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.12 (no red card)

Mf Terry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)

Mf Robert Walton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.81 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.17 (no red card)

Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.52 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.71 (no red card)

Fw Arne Jensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.84 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk João Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.95 (no red card)

Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.36 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.5 (no red card)

Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.83 (no red card)

Df Luiz Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.03 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.91 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.14 (no red card)

Mf Ariza Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.85 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.84 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.97 (no red card)

Fw Nicolás Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 25.45 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.15 (no injury) 
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.44 (no injury) 
Df Luca Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.56 (no injury) 
Mf Terry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.5 (no injury) 
Mf Robert Walton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.08 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.59 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no injury) 
Fw Arne Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.11 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk João Costa: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.99 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.86 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.74 (no injury) 
Df Luiz Silva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.54 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.91 (no injury) 
Mf Ariza Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.13 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.31 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.92 (no injury) 
Fw Nicolás Ramírez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Butcher SL 16
   - Defending Gk: João Costa SL 7

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Trevor Hanny SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            21   0  30  18  39
  Carlton Town FC          9   8  28  26  29

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 11 (39 - 28); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Elias Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 26.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Arne Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 93.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alistair Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Arne Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Alistair Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Alistair Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          9   8  28  26  29
  AFC Wimbledon            21   0  30  18  39

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 30)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 45.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 2  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Not looking forward to this matchup
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/13 - 3:09 PM  
Carlton Town offered little. AFC Wimbledon offered slightly more. The universe remains indifferent to both outcomes, as do I, though apparently I am still here noting them down.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/13 - 7:31 PM  
 
 
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