(N)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Youth Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Erik Holm 14 2 16 Gk Ali Benjelloun 4 2 6
Sw Alistair McDermott 0 2 0 Sw Jamie Johnson 9 1 10
Df Fernando Silva 16 2 18 Df Thomás Lebre 11 2 13
Df Nathan Meldrum 8 2 10 Df Frank Goodwin 7 2 9
Df Kund Gáspár 4 2 6 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 6 2 8
Mf Ross Browne 8 2 10 Df Giovanni Esposito 4 2 6
Mf Nuno Eiras 4 2 6 Mf Harley Ritchie 7 2 9
Fw Justin Neumann 13 2 15 Mf Rhys Johnstone 7 2 9
Fw Lee Collins 8 2 10 Fw Roberto Conti 7 2 9
Fw Greg Austin 4 2 6 Fw Victor Jourdan 7 2 9
Fw Noah O'Neill 4 2 6 Fw Miguel Angel Ramos 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 0 34 16 37 ROSTER TOTALS 6 10 36 18 24
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 1 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 2 5 0
=======================================================================
19 1 34 16 37 T O T A L S 6 10 38 23 24
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.29 (no red card)
Sw Alistair McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.93 (no red card)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.81 (no red card)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.23 (no red card)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.9 (no red card)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no red card)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.26 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.55 (no red card)
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.51 (no red card)
Fw Greg Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.44 (no red card)
Fw Noah O'Neill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.78 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ali Benjelloun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.96 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.9 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.04 (no red card)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.9 (no red card)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.08 (no red card)
Df Giovanni Esposito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.89 (no red card)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.57 (no red card)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.24 (no red card)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.69 (no red card)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.45 (no red card)
Fw Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury)
Sw Alistair McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.35 (no injury)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no injury)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.12 (no injury)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.49 (no injury)
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.88 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no injury)
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.25 (no injury)
Fw Greg Austin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury)
Fw Noah O'Neill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.64 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ali Benjelloun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.69 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.47 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.82 (no injury)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.6 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.18 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Sebastian Shrimpton is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Giovanni Esposito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.77 (no injury)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.43 (no injury)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.52 (no injury)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no injury)
Fw Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.04 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ali Benjelloun SL 4
intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Thomás Lebre SL 11
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14
intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 19 1 34 16 37
Luton Town FC 6 10 38 23 24
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 38)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((34 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Nathan Meldrum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Nathan Meldrum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Kund Gáspár
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 33.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 6 10 38 23 24
Harrogate Railway AFC 19 1 34 16 37
Luton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 34)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 16) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 37) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 32% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 32% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 32% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 2
Match Notes
The Commish versus Luton Town at a neutral venue, a cup tie dangling in the void like a question nobody asked. I have calculated seventeen thousand more meaningful ways to spend an afternoon. I shall watch regardless.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/08 - 7:30 PM
Outcoached and outplayed today. Well done C-Ball!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/13 - 7:11 PM
Surprised to win this one and definitely some luck on our side. Good match, Al!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 12:00 PM
Hopefully Marvin wound up tuning in!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 12:01 PM