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Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 - 09:07:38 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19     Gk Daniel Bell             7    2    9
Df Louie Ince             11    1   12     Sw Alex Kelly              2    2    4
Df Oscar Wood              6    2    8     Df Arthur East             7    0    7
Df Napoleon Bataille       2    2    4     Df Lewis Allan             4    2    6
Mf Gaëtan Picard           4    2    6     Mf Diego Ribeiro           8    2   10
Mf Carr Ellingsen          2    2    4     Mf Luciano Renteria        4    2    6
Fw Samuel Rose            13    2   15     Mf Lucas White             2    2    4
Fw Evan Gerrard            8    2   10     Df Gerry Ruddle           10    0   10
Fw Marcos Azevedo          8    2   10     Fw Scott Shaw              9    1   10
Mf William Murphy          2    2    4     Fw Arthur Lampton          8    2   10
Fw Lincoln Johnson         4    2    6     Fw Morgan Lindsay          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 24 14 41        ROSTER TOTALS       9  4 23 20 26    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 24 14 41         T O T A L S        9  4 23 20 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 36.21 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.95 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.96 (no red card)

Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.39 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)

Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.69 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.46 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.11 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.6 (no red card)

Mf William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.01 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.95 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.25 (no red card)

Sw Alex Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.74 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.37 (no second yellow)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.18 (no red card)

Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.0 (no red card)

Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.43 (no red card)

Mf Lucas White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.74 (no red card)

Df Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.56 (no red card)

Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.71 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.42 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.9 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.54 (no injury) 
Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.43 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no injury) 
Mf Carr Ellingsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.58 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.96 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury) 
Mf William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.08 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 2.29 (no injury) 
Sw Alex Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.91 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.38 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.99 (no injury) 
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.37 (no injury) 
Df Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.81 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.91 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Rose SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 7

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gerry Ruddle SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        20   0  24  14  41
  Chasetown FC             9   4  23  20  26

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 18 (41 - 23); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 79.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 59.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             9   4  23  20  26
  Welling United FC        20   0  24  14  41

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 2 (26 - 24); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 55.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Morgan Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 98.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 3  -  CHASETOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
I look forward to the Youth Cup only because I can play by best 11 in both league fixtures...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 06/27 - 10:01 AM
As expected...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 06/30 - 4:21 PM
 
 
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