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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leon Farrell            4    2    6     Gk Carlton Fortune-West    8    2   10
Sw Keith Davis            13    2   15     Sw Percy Bennett           2    2    4
Df Steven Gascoigne       13    1   14     Df Erik Meyer              8    2   10
Df Finlay Butcher          8    2   10     Df Andrea De Luca          8    0    8
Df Steven Williams         4    2    6     Df Sying Yáng              5    2    7
Mf Kian Sansom             8    2   10     Mf Zachary Bell           10   -1    9
Mf Owen MacLean            6    2    8     Mf Sam Bate                6    2    8
Mf Haakon Ødegård          4    2    6     Mf Giorgio Testa           2    2    4
Fw Baron Marshall         13    2   15     Fw Nico Fuchs              9    1   10
Fw Harley Dowson           8    2   10     Fw Sam Lewis               4    2    6
Fw Luiz Correia            4    2    6     Fw Oscar Lindström         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6 15 30 24 31        ROSTER TOTALS      10  4 25 21 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 17 30 24 31         T O T A L S       10  4 27 23 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.31 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.06 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.48 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.86 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.64 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.23 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.49 (no red card)

Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.68 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.57 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.58 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.85 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.81 (no red card)

Sw Percy Bennett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.09 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.92 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.32 (no second yellow)

Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 67.28 (no second yellow)

Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.0 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.84 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.96 (no red card)

Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.38 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Lindström: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 34.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.44 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 44.9 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.84 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 99.61 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 34.09 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 24.52 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 11.56 (no injury) 
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 2.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Haakon Ødegård is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 99.68 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 2.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Luiz Correia is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luiz Correia new match skill level =  2
      Luiz Correia new match total level =  4

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 72.01 (no injury) 
Sw Percy Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.98 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.17 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no injury) 
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.41 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.76 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Lindström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Steven Gascoigne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zachary Bell SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 4

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  9  17  30  24  29
  Mossley AFC              10   4  27  23  21

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 2 (29 - 27); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Steven Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              10   4  27  23  21
  FC United of Manchester  9  17  30  24  29

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 30)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - FC United of Manchester Gk (Home): Leon Farrell SL 4

   - Mossley AFC Gk (Away): Carlton Fortune-West SL 8

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Keith Davis (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 84 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 1  :  MOS - 0)

 Round 1: Zachary Bell (MOS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 1  :  MOS - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Steven Gascoigne (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 2  :  MOS - 1)

 Round 2: Nico Fuchs (MOS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 81 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 2  :  MOS - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Baron Marshall (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 62 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 1)

 Round 3: Carlton Fortune-West (MOS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Finlay Butcher (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 83 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 2)

 Round 4: Erik Meyer (MOS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Kian Sansom (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 3)

 Round 5: Andrea De Luca (MOS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 3  :  MOS - 4)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3  -  MOSSLEY AFC 4
 
Match Notes
Our 4th first-round Youth Cup matchup. Last two went to PKs
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/23 - 4:15 PM
PKs again! And another loss. Had hoped for better after they got zero scoring chances in regulation
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/30 - 1:12 PM
 
 
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