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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             8    2   10     Gk James MacLeod          13    2   15
Sw Sean Carroll            4    2    6     Sw Benjamin White          3   -1    2
Df Agostino Beretta       16    0   16     Df Matheo Seguin           7    2    9
Df Mathias Sørensen        8    2   10     Df Vilgot Falk             3    2    5
Df Ciaran Healy            4    2    6     Mf Wes Lambert            10    1   11
Mf Joe Barrett            14    2   16     Mf Euan Barclay            7    2    9
Mf Fernando Rocha          8   -1    7     Mf Samuel Cabral           6    2    8
Mf Bailey Oakes            4    2    6     Mf Angel Vazquez           3    2    5
Fw Matais Juarez          13    2   15     Fw Rodrigo Carvalho       10    1   11
Fw Michael Turner          8    2   10     Fw Max Daly                7    2    9
Fw Jens Kristensen         4    2    6     Fw William Peverell        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  6 32 29 31        ROSTER TOTALS      15  2 14 33 25    
       3  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  2  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  9 32 31 33         T O T A L S       15  2 14 33 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.03 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.09 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.6 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no second yellow)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.17 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.07 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no second yellow)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.07 (no red card)

Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.64 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.93 (no red card)

Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.41 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.54 (no red card)

Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.04 (no red card)

Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.64 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.83 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.66 (no red card)

Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.94 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.8 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.87 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.05 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.66 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.59 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.2 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.41 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.6 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.06 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 70.83 (no injury) 
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.72 (no injury) 
Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.59 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.28 (no injury) 
Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.79 (no injury) 
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.5 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.94 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.69 (no injury) 
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 13

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Wes Lambert SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13   9  32  31  33
  AFC Fylde                15   2  14  33  25

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 19 (33 - 14); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 3 ((32 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 34% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                15   2  14  33  25
  Tonbridge Angels         13   9  32  31  33

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 32)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 1 ((33 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((14 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  AFC FYLDE 1
 
Match Notes
A touch opening first round match.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/04 - 6:32 PM
Tonbridge look good
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/08 - 7:35 PM
We made hard work of winning this one.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/13 - 10:28 PM
 
 
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