(H)

AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden

Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ILKESTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kevin Hawkins 14 2 16 Gk Tobias Ødegård 12 1 13 Sw Luís Morais 13 1 14 Sw Liam Conner 11 0 11 Df Markus Jacobsen 13 0 13 Df Callum Henderson 10 2 12 Df Gareth Trickelbank 11 2 13 Df Barry Fortune-West 9 2 11 Df Lucas Soramaki 10 2 12 Df Florian Schmid 7 2 9 Mf Niklas König 13 0 13 Mf Cliff Cooper 7 2 9 Mf Christopher Cannon 11 1 12 Mf Padraig Conley 7 2 9 Fw William Hay 14 0 14 Mf Leron Katz 3 2 5 Fw Sam East 12 2 14 Mf Simon Müller 3 2 5 Fw Mark Solomon 14 0 14 Fw Moritz Schultze 8 1 9 Fw Fernando Cano 7 2 9 Fw Marcos Nuñez 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 14 38 25 51 ROSTER TOTALS 13 11 32 28 18 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 14 38 25 60 T O T A L S 13 14 36 28 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.59 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.59 (no red card) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.2 (no red card) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.38 (no red card) Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no red card) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.79 (no red card) Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.39 (no red card) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no red card) Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card) Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.91 (no red card) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.71 (no red card) Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.05 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.33 (no red card) Sw Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.26 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.1 (no second yellow) Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.89 (no red card) Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no red card) Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.42 (no red card) Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.12 (no red card) Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.69 (no red card) Mf Leron Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.79 (no red card) Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.59 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Simon Müller new match skill level = 2 Simon Müller new match total level = 4 Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.81 (no red card) Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.19 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.87 (no injury) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.19 (no injury) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.14 (no injury) Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.37 (no injury) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury) Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.39 (no injury) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury) Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.52 (no injury) Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.14 (no injury) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.94 (no injury) Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.14 (no injury) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.94 (no injury) Sw Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.37 (no injury) Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.26 (no injury) Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.25 (no injury) Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.36 (no injury) Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.42 (no injury) Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.19 (no injury) Mf Leron Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no injury) Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury) Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no injury) Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.99 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: William Hay SL 14 - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 12 intRndPk = 43 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Callum Henderson SL 10 - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 14 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 14 38 25 60 Ilkeston Town FC 13 14 36 27 18 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 24 (60 - 36); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 7 ((38 - 18) / 3); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Lucas Soramaki Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Lucas Soramaki Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 26.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 6.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 27: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 29: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Ilkeston Town FC 13 14 36 27 18 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 14 38 25 60 Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw! Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 38) Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 4 - ILKESTON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes

Too many games - something had to give
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/21 - 7:46 PM