(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC HALIFAX TOWN AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 16 1 17 Gk Christian Smith 14 2 16
Sw Jamie Johnson 13 0 13 Sw Bobby Baker 13 2 15
Df Philipp Koch 12 1 13 Df Coll Whyte 14 2 16
Df Reis Golan 12 2 14 Df John Cockayne 13 1 14
Mf Nathan Dean 12 1 13 Mf Oliver Rooney 12 2 14
Mf David Perry 12 2 14 Mf Gareth Gascoigne 12 2 14
Fw Nathan Phillips 16 1 17 Fw Craig Campbell 16 2 18
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 12 2 14 Fw Kyle Smith 13 2 15
Fw Facundo Bruno 12 2 14 Fw Enzo Dupont 16 2 18
Fw Jamie Carroll 11 2 13 Fw Alexander Becker 12 0 12
Fw William Johnson 8 2 10 Fw Rian Kelly 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 13 27 27 68 ROSTER TOTALS 16 15 30 28 72
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 3 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 16 30 27 77 T O T A L S 19 15 30 28 72
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.26 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.33 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.16 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.56 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.52 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.62 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.27 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.18 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.67 (no red card)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Christian Smith: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 73.45 (no red card)
Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.6 (no red card)
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.01 (no red card)
Df John Cockayne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card)
Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.86 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card)
Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.69 (no red card)
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card)
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.3 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Becker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.45 (no red card)
Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.65 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.94 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.94 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.01 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Philipp Hoffmann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Philipp Hoffmann new match skill level = 6
Philipp Hoffmann new match total level = 8
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.82 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.6 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.64 (no injury)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Christian Smith: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.94 (no injury)
Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury)
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.15 (no injury)
Df John Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.13 (no injury)
Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.21 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.46 (no injury)
Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.26 (no injury)
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.62 (no injury)
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.57 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Becker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.24 (no injury)
Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.2 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 16
- Defending Gk: Christian Smith SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 25 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Craig Campbell SL 16
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16
intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 17 16 30 27 71
Halifax Town AFC 19 15 30 28 72
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 41 (71 - 30); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 72) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 41
1: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 77.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 4.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 67.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 9.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 51.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
32: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
33: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
36: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
37: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
40: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
41: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Halifax Town AFC 19 15 30 28 72
Luton Town FC 17 16 30 27 71
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 42 (72 - 30); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 71) / 3; rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 43
1: Attack for Mf Oliver Rooney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
24: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
37: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
39: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
40: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
41: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
42: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
43: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
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E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
LUTON TOWN FC 2 - HALIFAX TOWN AFC 2
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E X T R A T I M E !!!!!!!!!!
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Note that in extra time, the formulas for determining how many bookings,
penalty kicks, injuries, and attacks are approximately 1/3 of the same
chance in regulation time. Its not always EXACTLY 1/3 but it will be close.
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Each player's level (skill level + fitness) is now reduced by their age (except for Gks - no reduction).
SBY and APP players do not get a reduction.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.24% | Random number = 4.02 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 87.0 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 53.22 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 48.14 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 48.13 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 74.5 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 99.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 14.73 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 98.12 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 90.04 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 66.05 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 94.68 (no red card)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Christian Smith: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 31.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.36% | Random number = 47.05 (no red card)
Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 3.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 32.64 (no red card)
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 17.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 35.37 (no red card)
Df John Cockayne: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 54.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 23.26 (no red card)
Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 86.8 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 76.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 69.93 (no red card)
Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 18.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 49.87 (no red card)
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 49.98 (no red card)
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 6.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 5.62 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Becker: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 13.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 50.6 (no red card)
Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 38.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 94.54 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.07%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.55%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 0.55% | Random number = 19.33 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 29.09 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 71.18 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 95.07 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 14.84 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 43.43 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: was injured earlier in the match and will not be checked again.
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 47.17 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 39.52 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 0.9%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.46%
Gk Christian Smith: Chance of injury = 0.46% | Random number = 68.28 (no injury)
Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 67.57 (no injury)
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 96.53 (no injury)
Df John Cockayne: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 33.03 (no injury)
Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 74.52 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 25.96 (no injury)
Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 95.0 (no injury)
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 58.43 (no injury)
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 77.18 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Becker: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 90.63 (no injury)
Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 68.88 (no injury)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 14
- Defending Gk: Christian Smith SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Craig Campbell SL 14
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16
intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 2% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
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Luton Town FC 17 13 28 25 58
Halifax Town AFC 19 12 25 23 61
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (58 - 25) * .33; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 23) / 2) * .33; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 98.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
******* HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
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Halifax Town AFC 19 12 25 23 61
Luton Town FC 17 13 28 25 58
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (61 - 28) * .33; result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Alexander Becker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Rian Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 3 - HALIFAX TOWN AFC 2
Match Notes
how do we even try and win this one. What was I doing in selecting this game for the prediction competition
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 02/07 - 11:27 AM
you don´t see Phil making such rookie mistakes over in MSWL1
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 02/07 - 11:28 AM
I am sure this will be hot one!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/07 - 6:58 PM
Best of luck, friend!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/07 - 6:58 PM
Great match, Vick, edge of my seat the whole way!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/07 - 7:32 PM
cracking game and good luck on your way to winning the cup Mke
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 02/07 - 10:30 PM