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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19     Gk Owen Brudenell         14    0   14
Sw Devon Allen            11    0   11     Sw Luiz Dias              13    1   14
Df Benjamin Richman        8    2   10     Df André Carvalho         13    0   13
Df Bernd Lang              9    2   11     Df Jamie Whiteside        11    1   12
Mf Thomas Williams        10    1   11     Df Josh Martin            10    1   11
Mf Abe Holden              8    2   10     Df John Tufnel             7    2    9
Fw Nils Pettersson        13    2   15     Mf Geoffrey Simpson       11    1   12
Fw Samuel Rose            13    2   15     Mf Chuck Knox             11    1   12
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15     Mf Patrick Gallaher       10    1   11
Fw Evan Gerrard            7    2    9     Fw Conall Walsh           14    0   14
Fw Marcos Azevedo          7    2    9     Fw Tyler Trickelbank       9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 11 21 21 63        ROSTER TOTALS      14 14 45 35 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 11 23 23 68         T O T A L S       14 14 45 37 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.41 (no red card)

Sw Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no second yellow)

Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)

Df Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.18 (no red card)

Mf Abe Holden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.37 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.85 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.41 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.57 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.4 (no red card)

Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.87 (no red card)

Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.52 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.24 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.59 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.35 (no second yellow)

Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.55 (no red card)

Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.91 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.26 (no red card)

Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.71 (no red card)

Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 78.37 (no injury) 
Sw Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.61 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.81 (no injury) 
Df Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Thomas Williams is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Abe Holden: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.72 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.02 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.33 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.86 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no injury) 
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.6 (no injury) 
Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.23 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.02 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.72 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.43 (no injury) 
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury) 
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.41 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.28 (no injury) 
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.52 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nils Pettersson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Conall Walsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  11  23  23  68
  Bridgwater Town          14  14  45  37  24

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 23 (68 - 45); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          14  14  45  37  24
  Welling United FC        19  11  23  23  68

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 1 (24 - 23); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Chuck Knox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Chuck Knox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 39.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Tyler Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
WOW - 1st FA Cup round without rematch!
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/24 - 7:06 PM
And even a WEL goal from only 23 shots
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/24 - 7:07 PM
 
 
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