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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            17    2   19     Gk Florian De Vos         13    2   15
Sw Aarron Lowe            16    2   18     Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15
Df Oscar Evans            13    1   14     Df Henry Martin           13    2   15
Df Ryan Barber            11    2   13     Df Gabriel Williams       13    2   15
Df Alejandro García       10    2   12     Sw Vegar Aas              10    2   12
Mf Manuel Iglesias        13    2   15     Mf Gregor Millar          13    2   15
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald      16    1   17     Mf Benjamin Healy         13    2   15
Mf Nigel Howells          10    2   12     Mf Andy Watson            11    2   13
Mf Baron Fisher           10    2   12     Fw Justin Neumann         13    2   15
Fw Carrington Bates       13    1   14     Fw Ian Hunter             13    2   15
Fw Ben Butcher            12    1   13     Fw Gordon Burroughs       15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 18 39 56 27        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 45 43 47    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 18 39 65 27         T O T A L S       18 12 45 43 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 99.9 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.09 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.82 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.06 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.96 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.63 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.49 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.28 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.4 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.08 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.76 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.03 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.33 (no red card)

Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.88 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.42 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no red card)

Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.26 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.1 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.21 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.69 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.36 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.08 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.19 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.88 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.73 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.01 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.66 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.77 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.15 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.85 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.22 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.24 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.95 (no injury) 
Sw Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.1 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.88 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.84 (no injury) 
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.64 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.76 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tyrone Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Burroughs SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            22  18  39  65  27
  Harrogate Railway AFC    18  12  45  43  47

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 45)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 11 ((65 - 43) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    18  12  45  43  47
  AFC Wimbledon            22  18  39  65  27

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (47 - 39); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((43 - 65) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((45 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 91.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 49.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 1.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 8.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Won 13, lost 32 in this fixture. No chance. I think we'll put out the Youth Cup team and set hardness to 10 to make it fun...looking forward to a good game Dave.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/31 - 7:53 PM
Harrogate running the table in D3 while WIM struggling to avoid relegation…….Harrogate is a 2 goal favorite here as they’ve only lost once
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/31 - 11:05 PM
It will be tough to overcome Florian DaVoss in this one…..Beavers are a goal and a half favorite.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/02 - 12:34 PM
These two managers do not like each other...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/07 - 2:05 AM
There is no underdog here.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/07 - 9:05 AM
the top dog Beavers are up against it here away at Wimbledon. At home it might have been another matter.
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 02/07 - 11:26 AM
Give the people what they want, Al.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/07 - 4:16 PM
Outplayed in this one…congrats Al
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/07 - 7:20 PM
Thanks Dave...we were fortunate to get a goal today.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/07 - 10:56 PM
 
 
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