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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18     Gk Nathan Parslow         10    0   10
Sw Leo McNeill            11    2   13     Sw Luiz Azevedo           10    0   10
Df Declan MacLellan       11    2   13     Df Bailey Holmes          10   -1    9
Df Hector  Araya           7    2    9     Df Abel Forlán             9   -1    8
Mf Leron  Katz            10    1   11     Df Finn Walter             8    0    8
Mf Martin Lejeune          7    2    9     Mf Philipp Schulz         11   -1   10
Mf Florian Smets           3    2    5     Mf Harry King             11   -1   10
Fw Marcos Nuñez           14    2   16     Mf Napoleon Bonneau        8   -1    7
Fw Alex Murphy            12    1   13     Mf Algernon Stretch        8    2   10
Fw Craig Porterfield      11    2   13     Fw Thiago Barbosa         11   -1   10
Fw Harvey Barrett          7    2    9     Fw Jack Jankel             9   -1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 22 25 51        ROSTER TOTALS      10 10 25 37 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  1  1  1    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 13 31 25 51         T O T A L S       12 10 26 38 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.72 (no red card)

Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.46 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.35 (no red card)

Df Hector  Araya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.98 (no red card)

Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.7 (no red card)

Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.23 (no red card)

Mf Florian Smets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.15 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.94 (no red card)

Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.73 (no red card)

Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.67 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.14 (no red card)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Nathan Parslow: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 37.63 (no red card)

Sw Luiz Azevedo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 69.82 (no red card)

Df Bailey Holmes: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 53.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 89.09 (no red card)

Df Abel Forlán: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 89.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 8.24 (no red card)

Df Finn Walter: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 65.27 (no red card)

Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 5.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 97.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Harry King: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 97.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 27.48 (no red card)

Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 21.69 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Stretch: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 16.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 22.64 (no red card)

Fw Thiago Barbosa: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 45.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card)

Fw Jack Jankel: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 28.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 48.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 75.41 (no injury) 
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 4.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Leo McNeill is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Leo McNeill new match skill level =  6
      Leo McNeill new match total level =  8
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 8.36 (no injury) 
Df Hector  Araya: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 63.8 (no injury) 
Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 95.18 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury) 
Mf Florian Smets: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 2.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Florian Smets is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Florian Smets new match skill level =  2
      Florian Smets new match total level =  4
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 95.71 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 39.27 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 53.24 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 49.54 (no injury) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Nathan Parslow: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 59.97 (no injury) 
Sw Luiz Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.32 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Holmes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no injury) 
Df Abel Forlán: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.95 (no injury) 
Df Finn Walter: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.61 (no injury) 
Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.47 (no injury) 
Mf Harry King: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 77.53 (no injury) 
Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.8 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.16 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Thiago Barbosa is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jack Jankel: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 24.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Nuñez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Nathan Parslow SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Philipp Schulz SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18   8  31  24  51
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC12  10  26  38  19

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (51 - 26); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hector  Araya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 35.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Hector  Araya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 63.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 40.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 9.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC12  10  26  38  19
  Ilkeston Town FC         18   8  31  24  51

Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 31)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Philipp Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Harry King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Napoleon Bonneau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Philipp Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 1  -  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Rainworth heading into Ilkeston's fortress today — the FA Cup doesn't care about home or away, it just wants a fight. Olmec Steve will have his side ready, but so are we.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/30 - 7:30 PM  
Harder than it should have been and Rainworth not punished for their dirty tactics.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/06 - 7:16 PM  
Tough day at Ilkeston — we gave everything but the goal wouldn't come. Steve calling us dirty is rich — we competed hard and he knows it.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/06 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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