(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ILKESTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Gordon Wilkins 15 1 16 Gk Mark Daugherty 13 2 15 Sw Luís Morais 14 2 16 Sw Declan Wilson 16 -1 15 Df Charles Clarke 13 0 13 Df Matty Parsons 13 2 15 Df Simon Charlton 11 -1 10 Df Jannick Schmitz 14 1 15 Df Markus Jacobsen 7 2 9 Mf Diogo DaSilva 10 2 12 Mf Gerry Shilton 12 0 12 Mf Donald Brown 9 2 11 Mf Thomas Thomsen 8 2 10 Fw Leon Fischer 13 2 15 Fw Mark Solomon 12 2 14 Fw Dennis Honeybun 13 2 15 Fw Angus Williamson 15 0 15 Fw Luca König 13 1 14 Fw William Hay 7 2 9 Fw Kai Burke 10 2 12 Fw Martim Gomes 7 2 9 Fw André Souza 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 16 32 22 47 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 30 23 65 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 16 32 22 56 T O T A L S 18 18 30 23 65 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.66 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.84 (no red card) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.73 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.3 (no second yellow) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.12 (no red card) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.48 (no red card) Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.53 (no red card) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.01 (no red card) Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.35 (no red card) Fw Martim Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.12 (no red card) Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.28 (no red card) Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.32 (no red card) Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card) Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.61 (no red card) Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card) Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.28 (no red card) Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.52 (no red card) Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.31 (no red card) Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.78 (no red card) Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.02 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no injury) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no injury) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no injury) Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.05 (no injury) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.52 (no injury) Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.54 (no injury) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no injury) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.57 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Angus Williamson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Angus Williamson new match skill level = 8 Angus Williamson new match total level = 8 Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.11 (no injury) Fw Martim Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.78 (no injury) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.52 (no injury) Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.71 (no injury) Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.5 (no injury) Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.52 (no injury) Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.73 (no injury) Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.4 (no injury) Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.51 (no injury) Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.63 (no injury) Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.64 (no injury) Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Charles Clarke SL 13 - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13 intRndPk = 18 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14 - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15 intRndPk = 96 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 16 32 22 49 Ilkeston Town FC 18 18 30 23 65 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 19 (49 - 30); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 65) / 3; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Fw Martim Gomes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Martim Gomes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Martim Gomes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Ilkeston Town FC 18 18 30 23 65 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 16 32 22 49 Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 33 (65 - 32); result rounded up Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 34 1: Attack for Mf Donald Brown Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw André Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Kai Burke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw André Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Kai Burke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Kai Burke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 83.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw André Souza Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Kai Burke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Kai Burke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 83.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 32: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Luca König Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 3 - ILKESTON TOWN FC 3
Match Notes
Steve hasn't had our number as much of late.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/14 - 6:04 AM
Expecting that to change here again
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/14 - 6:04 AM
We need to find a way to beat Olmec in these big games. 50% on target shots compared to 100%
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/15 - 7:32 PM
As well as the SW stopping stats.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/15 - 7:33 PM