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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
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Martyn Hathaway
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19     Gk Owen Brudenell         11    1   12
Sw Douglas Pereira         8    2   10     Sw Lucas Moore            11    0   11
Df Devon Allen            13    1   14     Df Josh Martin            12   -1   11
Df Louie Ince              6    2    8     Df John Tufnel            11    1   12
Mf Bernd Lang             13    2   15     Fw Patrick Gallaher       12    0   12
Mf Gaëtan Picard           7    2    9     Mf Melker Lundin          12    0   12
Fw Marcos Azevedo         12    2   14     Mf Geoffrey Simpson        9    0    9
Fw Evan Gerrard           12    1   13     Fw Jay Meldrum            14    0   14
Fw Lorenzo Santana         9    2   11     Fw Toby Hall              10    0   10
Fw Lincoln Johnson         7    2    9     Fw George Taylor           7    2    9
Fw William Murphy          7    2    9     Fw Conall Walsh            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 10 22 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS      12 11 23 21 54    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 10 22 24 65         T O T A L S       12 11 23 21 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 88.69 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.93 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.7 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.74 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.37 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.19 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.65 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.98 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.59 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.22 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.75 (no second yellow)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.81 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.91 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.6 (no red card)

Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.33 (no red card)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.85 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.64 (no red card)

Fw George Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.14 (no red card)

Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 6.33 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.05 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 11.52 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 59.13 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.01 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 92.94 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.22 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.77 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.36 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 34.56 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.39 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 57.99 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 55.35 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.01 (no injury) 
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 70.14 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.79 (no injury) 
Fw George Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.67 (no injury) 
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 20.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Devon Allen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jay Meldrum SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        20  10  22  24  65
  Bridgwater Town          12  11  23  21  56

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 42 (65 - 23); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 44

1: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Picard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 42.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
39: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
40: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
42: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
44: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          12  11  23  21  56
  Welling United FC        20  10  22  24  65

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 34 (56 - 22); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 18.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 19.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 23.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw George Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 38.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw George Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 99.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw George Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 61.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw George Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Patrick Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw George Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 3
 
Match Notes
Give 'em hell, Martyn.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/07 - 4:26 PM
Hell was delivered
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 5:29 PM
Funny numbers:
prob( WEL doesn't score ) = 0.8% ...
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 5:31 PM
prob( WEL scores at least 4 goals ) = 73%
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 5:31 PM
Wow.....that is some really harsh luck against a lower level GK.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/12 - 2:02 PM
 
 
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