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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            15    2   17     Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17
Sw Rhys Porter            16    0   16     Sw Arran Wood             16    2   18
Df Rayan Blanc            13    0   13     Df Maximillian Beerman    14    1   15
Df Diego Rocha            12    0   12     Df Sebastian Parra        15    0   15
Df Ryan Lasserre          11    1   12     Df Ethan Shaw              7    2    9
Mf Martín Paz             13    0   13     Mf Alvarez  Jiménez       10    0   10
Mf Dominic Webster        12    0   12     Mf Ethan Marsh             7    2    9
Mf James Gallaher         11    1   12     Fw Nicola Marino          14    1   15
Fw Tom Duckworth          15    0   15     Fw Tom Beerman            13    1   14
Fw Ellis Boddington       11    1   12     Fw Michael White          10    2   12
Fw Cristobal Ramos        15    0   15     Fw Tom Parry               9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 37 37 42        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 39 19 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 37 37 51         T O T A L S       20 18 40 19 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.53 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.31 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.17 (no red card)

Df Diego Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.52 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.86 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.98 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.3 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.8 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.0 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.22 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.35 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.81 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.6 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.24 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.27 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.14 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.44 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.69 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.64 (no red card)

Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.49 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Rayan Blanc is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rayan Blanc new match skill level =  7
      Rayan Blanc new match total level =  7
Df Diego Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.76 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.14 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      James Gallaher is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.5 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.89 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.17 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.92 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.16 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.08 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.32 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.59 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.38 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.13 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.94 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Duckworth SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Parra SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 15

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                17  16  31  37  51
  York City FC             20  18  40  19  52

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 11 (51 - 40); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 9 ((37 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             20  18  40  19  52
  AFC Fylde                17  16  31  37  51

York City FC Fw Attacks = 21 (52 - 31); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 0  -  YORK CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
This looks like a great matchup.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/15 - 4:25 PM
Nothing between the teams other than a bit of luck.
James (York City FC) 06/15 - 9:53 PM
 
 
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