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Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 - 09:12:55 AM (gmt)
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18     Gk Archie Brakspear       14    1   15
Sw Douglas Pereira        12    2   14     Df William Munro          13    1   14
Df Louie Ince             11    0   11     Df Theo Hill              13    0   13
Df Oscar Wood              5    2    7     Df Shaun Gibson           11    1   12
Mf Jonas Koch             14    1   15     Df Michio Mori            10   -1    9
Mf Thomas Williams        10    1   11     Df Stephen Ard             6    2    8
Fw Nils Pettersson        13    2   15     Mf Liam Cox               17    0   17
Fw Greg Scott             13    1   14     Mf Christopher Burroughs   7    2    9
Fw Arran Fergus           11    2   13     Fw Jay Palmer             13    1   14
Fw Marcos Azevedo          7    2    9     Fw Antonio Leon           13    1   14
Fw Evan Gerrard            7    2    9     Fw Manuel  Jiménez         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 18 26 60        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 56 26 37    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 22 26 65         T O T A L S       15  0 63 26 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.18 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.8 (no second yellow)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.45 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.34 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.39 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.64 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.94 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.51 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.58 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.74 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.89 (no red card)

Df Theo Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.88 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.15 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.93 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.55 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.06 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.18 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.78 (no red card)

Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 8.7 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.61 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Douglas Pereira is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Douglas Pereira new match skill level =  6
      Douglas Pereira new match total level =  8
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.85 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.53 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.93 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.42 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.92 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.44 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.56 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.65 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.84 (no injury) 
Df Theo Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.16 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.84 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.62 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.55 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.71 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.96 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 14

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18   9  22  26  65
  Kingstonian FC           15   0  63  26  37

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 2 (65 - 63); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           15   0  63  26  37
  Welling United FC        18   9  22  26  65

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 8 (37 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Will the third match be a charm for Kingstonian?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/14 - 2:42 PM
I'm not optimistic.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/14 - 3:30 PM
Our tactics were fine, but the luck went Welling's way.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/14 - 7:09 PM
Admittedly a lucky coin flip win
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/19 - 10:07 PM
You always caught me off guard
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/19 - 10:08 PM
I did expect KIN to throw this match in favour of the AP cup and the league
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/19 - 10:08 PM
 
 
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