(H)
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
FA Cup Round 2 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ILKESTON TOWN FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Andrés Ramos 16 2 18 Gk Hayden Barnes 13 2 15
Sw Declan Wilson 15 2 17 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18
Df Shayne Porter 15 0 15 Df Robin Ostrander 13 1 14
Df Leo McNeill 11 2 13 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 11 1 12
Df Matty Parsons 8 2 10 Df Thomás Lebre 10 2 12
Mf Kenzie Munro 10 2 12 Mf Jonathan Heddle 12 0 12
Mf Kai Jones 10 1 11 Mf Victor Shepard 11 1 12
Fw André Souza 13 2 15 Mf Nathan Dean 7 2 9
Fw Cole Hamilton 11 1 12 Fw Nathan Phillips 13 1 14
Fw Leon Fischer 9 1 10 Fw Jamie Carroll 12 0 12
Fw Marcos Nuñez 7 2 9 Fw William Johnson 12 1 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 38 23 46 ROSTER TOTALS 15 18 38 33 39
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 5 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 20 38 23 55 T O T A L S 15 18 38 38 39
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.7 (no red card)
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.46 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.01 (no second yellow)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.99 (no red card)
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)
Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.6 (no red card)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.05 (no red card)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.55 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.7 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.2 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.05 (no second yellow)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.56 (no red card)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.75 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.58 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.92 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.73 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.99 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.1 (no red card)
============================================================================
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.16 (no injury)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.89 (no injury)
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Shayne Porter is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Shayne Porter new match skill level = 8
Shayne Porter new match total level = 8
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.07 (no injury)
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.75 (no injury)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.96 (no injury)
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury)
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.46 (no injury)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.91 (no injury)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.52 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.04 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.04 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.31 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.47 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.14 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.63 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.66 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: André Souza SL 13
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 13
- Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 20 20 31 23 55
Luton Town FC 15 18 38 38 39
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (55 - 38); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 39) / 3; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 15 18 38 38 39
Ilkeston Town FC 20 20 31 23 55
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (39 - 31); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((38 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 55) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 17.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 1 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Replay fever, best of luck, Steve!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 5:01 PM
You are one of the managers I always feel like I am going to lose against, we shall see here.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 5:01 PM
Just noticed the lack of love here for LIN from the touts, I guess I am not the only one who thinks Steve is a smarter manager than me!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 5:03 PM
Well done, Steve! Pretty much as even as it gets, hard to overcome home adv and great perf.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 7:36 PM
Thanks, Mike. Not smart - just brute force and lucky the injury wasn't serious.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/14 - 9:27 PM