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Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HYDE FC                                    LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ramon Garcia           15    2   17     Gk Hayden Barnes          13    2   15
Df Kyle Low               13    0   13     Sw Jamie Johnson          16    2   18
Df Pedro Almeida          11    1   12     Df Robin Ostrander        13    1   14
Df Nils Mayer             10    0   10     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    11    1   12
Df Michael Wright          7    2    9     Df Thomás Lebre           10    2   12
Mf Eirik Paulsen          13    0   13     Mf Jonathan Heddle        12    0   12
Mf Michael Stewart        10    2   12     Mf Victor Shepard         11    1   12
Mf Ashton Hill             7    2    9     Mf Nathan Dean             7    2    9
Fw Tomas Morales          13    2   15     Fw Nathan Phillips        13    1   14
Fw Takeo Nakamura         16    0   16     Fw William Johnson        12    1   13
Fw Kian Williams           8    1    9     Fw Nils Schneider         11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 44 34 40        ROSTER TOTALS      15 18 38 33 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  5  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 44 34 49         T O T A L S       15 18 38 38 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.23 (no red card)

Df Kyle Low: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card)

Df Nils Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.57 (no red card)

Df Michael Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.62 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.1 (no red card)

Mf Michael Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.0 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.64 (no red card)

Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.84 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.71 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.5 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.87 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.77 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.97 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.15 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.56 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.68 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.69 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.76 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.43 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.58 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Low: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Df Nils Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.1 (no injury) 
Df Michael Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Michael Wright is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Michael Wright new match skill level =  4
      Michael Wright new match total level =  6
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.59 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.39 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.5 (no injury) 
Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.25 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.11 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.34 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.69 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.76 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.17 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.76 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.5 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.1 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.8 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Takeo Nakamura SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 15

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  17   0  41  34  49
  Luton Town FC            15  18  38  38  39

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 11 (49 - 38); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 39) / 5); result rounded up
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Michael Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Tomas Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            15  18  38  38  39
  Hyde FC                  17   0  41  34  49

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 41)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((38 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hyde FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HYDE FC 2  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
We could have got a better draw but at least we are at home
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/08 - 7:00 PM
Best of luck, Carl, I feel like we always match up well for a good battle.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 5:02 PM
Great tactics, Carl, nice win!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 7:34 PM
A run in the AP Cup. Wow!
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/15 - 10:48 AM
 
 
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