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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           12    1   13     Gk Andrés Ramos           11    2   13
Df Agostino Beretta       17    1   18     Df Clifton Mason           0    2    2
Df Algenon Webster        13    2   15     Sw Barry Fortune-West      8    2   10
Df Clifton Ali            10    1   11     Df Liam Conner             6    2    8
Df Sean Callahan           6    2    8     Df Rodrigo Baciao          3    2    5
Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15     Df Elias Müller            2    2    4
Mf Malte Axelsson         10    1   11     Mf Esteban Gallet          6    2    8
Mf Fernando Rocha          3    2    5     Mf Kai Jones               6    2    8
Fw Paul Millot            13    2   15     Mf Kenzie Munro            3    2    5
Fw Patrick Reid            9    2   11     Fw Moritz Schultze         6    2    8
Fw Matais Juarez           6    2    8     Fw André Souza             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 52 31 34        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 19 21 16    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 52 36 38         T O T A L S       13 13 23 21 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 29.49 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.5 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.44 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.92 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.78 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.49 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.1 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.5 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.16 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.34 (no second yellow)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.21 (no red card)

Df Clifton Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.59 (no red card)

Sw Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.29 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.18 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo Baciao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)

Df Elias Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.51 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.17 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.57 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 27.81 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.0 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.11 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.33 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.0 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Matais Juarez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Matais Juarez new match skill level =  3
      Matais Juarez new match total level =  5

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 31.5 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Mason: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.17 (no injury) 
Sw Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.83 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo Baciao: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.02 (no injury) 
Df Elias Müller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.59 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Esteban Gallet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Esteban Gallet new match skill level =  3
      Esteban Gallet new match total level =  5
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.11 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.48 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.95 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 11

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Liam Conner SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         15   0  52  36  35
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  13  23  18  16

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 12 (35 - 23); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 9 ((36 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 8 ((52 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  13  23  18  16
  Tonbridge Angels         15   0  52  36  35

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 52)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 4  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Ilkeston have a big cup game with Welling, interesting to see what team Steve puts out against us.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/30 - 10:19 PM
Yes, more important games to worry about. Happy with the outcome though.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/05 - 5:09 PM
 
 
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