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Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
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League Round 3
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HYDE FC                                    AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk João Barbosa           12    2   14     Gk Kevin Hawkins          15    1   16
Sw Young Ja  Seo           6    2    8     Sw Kai Laidlaw            12    1   13
Df Pedro Almeida          13    0   13     Df Axel Lacour            13    0   13
Df Marco  Rodríguez       11    1   12     Df Baron Jackson          11    1   12
Df Ludvig Fredriksson      3    2    5     Df Gareth Trickelbank     11    0   11
Mf Ashton Hill            13    1   14     Df Hayden Duncan           6    2    8
Mf Cillian Jackson        12    0   12     Mf Gareth Scott           11    0   11
Mf Oisin O'Neal            3    2    5     Mf Henry Henry             6    2    8
Fw Brandon Collins        12    1   13     Fw Fernando Cano          13    0   13
Fw Jermaine Terry         14    1   15     Fw Sam East               15    0   15
Fw Elliot Ritchie          6    2    8     Fw Elliot Bunyan          11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  8 30 31 36        ROSTER TOTALS      16 13 44 19 40    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 30 33 43         T O T A L S       17 13 44 19 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk João Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.42 (no red card)

Sw Young Ja  Seo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.38 (no second yellow)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.92 (no red card)

Df Marco  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)

Df Ludvig Fredriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.09 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.16 (no second yellow)

Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.96 (no red card)

Mf Oisin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.78 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.18 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.92 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.13 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 29.81 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.19 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.75 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.74 (no red card)

Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.85 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card)

Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.49 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.97 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.03 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.33 (no injury) 
Sw Young Ja  Seo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.55 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.66 (no injury) 
Df Marco  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.16 (no injury) 
Df Ludvig Fredriksson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.52 (no injury) 
Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.41 (no injury) 
Mf Oisin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.13 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.82 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.35 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 45.52 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.58 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.92 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Gareth Scott is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.82 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.89 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jermaine Terry SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
   - Defending Gk: João Barbosa SL 12

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  14  11  30  33  43
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  13  44  19  40

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 44)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((33 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  13  44  19  40
  Hyde FC                  14  11  30  33  43

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 1 ((44 - 43) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HYDE FC 0  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1
 
Match Notes
Not sure home advantage will be enough
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/17 - 6:04 AM  
Cautious Carl versus a Diamonds side with nothing to prove and everything to plod through. Two mid-table philosophies colliding with the energy of a Tuesday filing cabinet. The universe yawns.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/18 - 7:30 PM  
Yes it will Carl we are pants
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/22 - 8:05 AM  
Snuck one here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/23 - 10:20 PM  
Miscalculated this one
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/24 - 8:18 AM  
 
 
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