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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    0   16     Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17
Df Thomas McIntyre        11    1   12     Sw Arran Wood             16    1   17
Df Luca Lorimar           10   -1    9     Df Maximillian Beerman    13    1   14
Df Mason Shaw              7    2    9     Df Tom Cole               13    2   15
Df James Long              4    2    6     Mf David Beerman           9    2   11
Mf William Carney         13    1   14     Df Ethan Shaw              6    2    8
Mf Liam Murphy            16    0   16     Mf Ethan Marsh             7    2    9
Mf Mons Nygård            11    2   13     Fw Nicola Marino          13    1   14
Mf Noah Young             11    1   12     Fw Tom Beerman            13    1   14
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Juan Acosta            10    2   12
Fw Pedro Souza            11    1   12     Fw Michael White          10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 36 55 27        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 37 20 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 45 55 27         T O T A L S       20 17 37 20 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.2 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.75 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.82 (no red card)

Df James Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.8 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.01 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.46 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.91 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.27 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.93 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.51 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.94 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.93 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)

Mf David Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.0 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.47 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.62 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.54 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.22 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.89 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.07 (no injury) 
Df James Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.07 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.74 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.04 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.14 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.67 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.17 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.56 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.17 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.81 (no injury) 
Mf David Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.79 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.74 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Maximillian Beerman SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  45  55  27
  York City FC             20  17  37  20  52

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 37)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((55 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 49.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 38.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             20  17  37  20  52
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  45  55  27

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 4 (52 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Maximillian Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Tom Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Maximillian Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Maximillian Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 62.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  YORK CITY FC 2
 
Match Notes
Beerman Bros at the double.
James (York City FC) 06/08 - 7:26 PM
 
 
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