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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            17    2   19     Gk George Cockham         14    2   16
Sw Aarron Lowe            15    2   17     Sw Ethan Maire             7    1    8
Df Jamie Aikenhead         4    2    6     Df Sean Taylor             8    2   10
Df Oscar Evans            13    1   14     Df Zak Strachan            7    2    9
Df Alejandro García       10    2   12     Df Ye Zhou                 6    2    8
Mf Manuel Iglesias        13    1   14     Df Alexander Campbell      3    2    5
Mf Nigel Howells          10    2   12     Mf Louis Ferdinand         7    2    9
Fw Harry Pastor           13    1   14     Mf Victor Timmermans       3    2    5
Fw Carrington Bates       13    2   15     Mf José Morales            3    2    5
Fw Ben Butcher            11    1   12     Fw Young Soo Shin          7    2    9
Fw Peter Harding           6    2    8     Fw Rafael Almeida          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 17 32 26 49        ROSTER TOTALS      16  8 32 19 14    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 17 32 26 58         T O T A L S       16  8 32 19 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 25.86 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.28 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.9 (no second yellow)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.88 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.28 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.22 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.51 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.2 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.94 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.48 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.48 (no red card)

Sw Ethan Maire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.65 (no red card)

Df Sean Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.64 (no red card)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)

Df Ye Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no red card)

Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.38 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card)

Mf Victor Timmermans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.35 (no red card)

Mf José Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.53 (no red card)

Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.03 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 39.11 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.14 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.93 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.18 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.57 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.74 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.96 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Peter Harding is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Peter Harding new match skill level =  3
      Peter Harding new match total level =  5

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk George Cockham: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 0.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      George Cockham is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      George Cockham new match skill level =  7
      George Cockham new match total level =  9
Sw Ethan Maire: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.43 (no injury) 
Df Sean Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.75 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.6 (no injury) 
Df Ye Zhou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.12 (no injury) 
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.19 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Timmermans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.93 (no injury) 
Mf José Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.18 (no injury) 
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.46 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Evans SL 13
   - Defending Gk: George Cockham SL 7

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Taylor SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            22  17  32  26  55
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       9   8  32  19  14

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 23 (55 - 32); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Alejandro García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 43.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jamie Aikenhead
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Oscar Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 93.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Oscar Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Alejandro García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Oscar Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 46.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       9   8  32  19  14
  AFC Wimbledon            22  17  32  26  55

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 32)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 4  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
 
Match Notes
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Nothing but respect for Alon
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how will this game pan out?
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 01/31 - 6:44 PM
Would accept an injury to anyone but our GK so...
Alon (Shepshed Dynamo FC) 02/01 - 2:50 PM
 
 
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