(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
AP Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner 13 2 15 Gk Kevin Hawkins 15 1 16
Sw Sean Carroll 11 2 13 Sw Luís Morais 11 1 12
Df Mathias Sørensen 13 2 15 Df Gareth Trickelbank 13 1 14
Df Ciaran Healy 12 2 14 Df Axel Lacour 12 2 14
Df Steve Gordon 7 2 9 Df Baron Jackson 6 -1 5
Mf Fernando Rocha 13 2 15 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 12 1 13
Mf Sean Long 11 2 13 Mf Christopher Cannon 11 1 12
Mf Joe Barrett 14 2 16 Fw Sam East 13 1 14
Mf Jordi Navarro 7 2 9 Fw William Hay 13 0 13
Fw Michael Turner 14 2 16 Fw Fernando Cano 12 1 13
Fw Daniel Barbosa 7 1 8 Fw William Bell 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 13 38 53 24 ROSTER TOTALS 16 12 33 25 48
2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 38 53 33 T O T A L S 17 12 33 25 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.99 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 68.38 (no red card)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.27 (no red card)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.81 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.93 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.85 (no red card)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.76 (no red card)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.72 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.59 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 1.64 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.48 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.57 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.45 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.69 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.46 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.16 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.18 (no red card)
Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 92.18 (no injury)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.9 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.75 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mathias Sørensen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 88.26 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 4.71 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 25.25 (no injury)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 28.26 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.57 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.81 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 29.28 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.45 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Luís Morais is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Luís Morais new match skill level = 6
Luís Morais new match total level = 7
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 59.1 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 99.78 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 40.94 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.42 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 18.36 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.84 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.48 (no injury)
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 56.55 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Gareth Trickelbank SL 13
- Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 17 13 38 53 33
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 7 33 25 48
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 33)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 14 ((53 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 7 33 25 48
Tonbridge Angels 17 13 38 53 33
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 10 (48 - 38); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 53) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 33) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
Match Notes
We literally just played Tonbridge in the group stage.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/25 - 10:25 AM
The first game was a close affair, expecting the same.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/26 - 4:21 PM
Nothing much in it, we just about had the better chances. Unlucky John.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/01 - 6:34 PM