(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
FA Shield Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC MOSSLEY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Rafael Blanco 2 2 4 Gk Felipe Carvalho 6 2 8
Df Ruud Voorhees 5 0 5 Sw Frank Hart 6 2 8
Df Mathias Garreau 4 0 4 Df Billy Slater 7 0 7
Df Felipe Cardoso 3 0 3 Df Alex Normand 3 2 5
Df William Laroche 2 2 4 Df Tomas Kennedy 3 2 5
Df Harley Bird 2 2 4 Mf Jason Ellis 10 1 11
Mf Devon Lennon 7 0 7 Mf Thomas Constant 10 0 10
Mf Taylor Gerrard 6 0 6 Mf Leo Lee 4 2 6
Mf Marcos Mendez 3 2 5 Mf Robert Stone 3 2 5
Fw Thomas Reed 5 0 5 Fw Luca Bell 10 0 10
Fw Nigel Bradley 5 1 6 Fw Ollie James 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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4 0 20 18 11 ROSTER TOTALS 8 8 17 32 15
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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4 0 29 18 11 T O T A L S 8 8 17 32 15
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.6 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.34 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.69 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)
Df William Laroche: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.83 (no red card)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.77 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.18 (no red card)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.1 (no red card)
Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.82 (no red card)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.34 (no red card)
******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.57 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.94 (no red card)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.69 (no red card)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card)
Df Alex Normand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.61 (no red card)
Df Tomas Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.88 (no red card)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.75 (no red card)
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.57 (no red card)
Mf Robert Stone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.38 (no red card)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.79 (no red card)
Fw Ollie James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.14 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Ollie James new match skill level = 2
Ollie James new match total level = 4
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.82 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.87 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.32 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Mathias Garreau loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Mathias Garreau new match skill level = 2
Mathias Garreau new match total level = 2
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.83 (no injury)
Df William Laroche: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.09 (no injury)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.0 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.53 (no injury)
Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury)
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no injury)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury)
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.58 (no injury)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.26 (no injury)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.66 (no injury)
Df Alex Normand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.86 (no injury)
Df Tomas Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.32 (no injury)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.09 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no injury)
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.87 (no injury)
Mf Robert Stone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.34 (no injury)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury)
Fw Ollie James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Devon Lennon SL 7
- Defending Gk: Felipe Carvalho SL 6
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jason Ellis SL 10
- Defending Gk: Rafael Blanco SL 2
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 4 0 27 18 11
Mossley AFC 8 8 17 32 14
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 17)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df William Laroche
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 74.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Mossley AFC 8 8 17 32 14
Forest Green Rovers FC 4 0 27 18 11
Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 27)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((32 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((17 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Billy Slater
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 30.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Alex Normand
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 35.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 74.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 55.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Robert Stone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 11.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Leo Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 1.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Leo Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 69.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
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F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1 - MOSSLEY AFC 3
Match Notes
Mossley travelling to face Forest Green today — no easy ride awaits them on this turf. Both sides will need to bring their thunder.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/20 - 7:30 PM
easy ride awaited, afterall
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/30 - 8:21 PM