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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 06:31:29 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
Non League IV
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Guery         12    2   14     Gk Wes Day                 9    0    9
Df Jeff Charlton          12    0   12     Df Finn Walter            11   -1   10
Df Chris Howard           10    0   10     Df Alberto Lombardo        9   -1    8
Df Francis Martin          6    2    8     Df Aurélien Tessier        9   -1    8
Mf Federico Gentile       12    0   12     Df Samuel Ferguson         6    0    6
Mf Gast?n Franco          11    0   11     Df Abel Forlán             6    2    8
Mf Alistair Carr           5    2    7     Mf Philipp Schulz         12   -1   11
Mf Oscar Zapata            2    2    4     Mf Napoleon Bonneau       11   -1   10
Fw Sveinur Hansen         11    0   11     Mf Kyle Brides             8    0    8
Fw Santiago Rubio         11    0   11     Fw Thiago Barbosa         12   -1   11
Fw Trevor Hanny            6    2    8     Fw Gregg Burns            11   -1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 30 34 30        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 40 29 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  1  2  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 30 34 39         T O T A L S       11  1 42 30 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.9 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.17 (no second yellow)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.88 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.32 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.67 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.42 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.75 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.65 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no red card)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Wes Day: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card)

Df Finn Walter: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 91.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 10.9 (no red card)

Df Alberto Lombardo: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 6.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no second yellow)

Df Aurélien Tessier: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 0.74 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aurélien Tessier new match skill level =  5
      Aurélien Tessier new match total level =  4

Df Samuel Ferguson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 78.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)

Df Abel Forlán: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 83.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 29.54 (no red card)

Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 19.46 (no red card)

Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 32.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 83.62 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Brides: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 14.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no second yellow)

Fw Thiago Barbosa: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 72.77 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Burns: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 17.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 34.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 99.87 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 22.64 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 35.11 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 35.4 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 62.37 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 45.51 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 47.05 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 15.39 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Team Hardness = 7
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Wes Day: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 73.09 (no injury) 
Df Finn Walter: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.72 (no injury) 
Df Alberto Lombardo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 43.45 (no injury) 
Df Aurélien Tessier: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Ferguson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 23.77 (no injury) 
Df Abel Forlán: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.9 (no injury) 
Mf Philipp Schulz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 65.8 (no injury) 
Mf Napoleon Bonneau: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 85.64 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Brides: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Barbosa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.59 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Burns: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jeff Charlton SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Wes Day SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 84 (pk blocked)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Philipp Schulz SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 12

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  30  34  39
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC11   0  38  30  22

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (39 - 38); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((30 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Francis Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Rainworth Miners Welfare FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 45.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Rainworth Miners Welfare FC11   0  38  30  22
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  30  34  39

Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 30)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Rainworth Miners Welfare FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 1  -  RAINWORTH MINERS WELFARE FC 0
 
Match Notes
A lot of pressure on Mike here...Almost everyone thinks Carlton moves on...Mark C is not convinced.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/24 - 12:20 PM
 
 
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