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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Lloyd           7    0    7     Gk Kenzie Ross            16    2   18
Df Finlay Cooke            8    0    8     Df Harry Johnson           8    1    9
Df Tihamér Pap             7    0    7     Df Luke Jackson            6    2    8
Df Gordon Shaw             5    0    5     Df Oscar Evans             3    2    5
Df Jelle Beckers           5    0    5     Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    1   14
Mf Andrea Marino           8    0    8     Mf Oliver Johnstone       10    1   11
Mf Glenn Ellis             8   -1    7     Mf Henning Pedersen        6    2    8
Mf Giles Hanny             6    0    6     Fw Reuben Thomas          13    2   15
Fw Cristobal Saez          9    0    9     Fw Marty Allen            10    2   12
Fw Reuben Dowson           8    0    8     Fw Sheng Hé                6    2    8
Fw Tony Murray             7    0    7     Fw Harry Pastor            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  0 25 21 24        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 22 33 40    
       0  0  3  0  3          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  0 31 23 29         T O T A L S       18  0 22 33 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.83 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 48.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 55.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 86.11 (no red card)

Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 27.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card)

Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 47.44 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 41.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 15.21 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 91.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 73.38 (no red card)

Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.22 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 70.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 1.82 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Cristobal Saez new match skill level =  5
      Cristobal Saez new match total level =  5

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 66.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 71.15 (no red card)

Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 67.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 40.7 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.69 (no red card)

Df Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.15 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.39 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.41 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.23 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.13 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.36 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.76 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.94 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 49.22 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.87 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.13 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.54 (no injury) 
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.61 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.29 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.27 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.2 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.9 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.16 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.01 (no injury) 
Df Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 70.69 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 6.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Luke Jackson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luke Jackson new match skill level =  3
      Luke Jackson new match total level =  5
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 56.53 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.78 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 30.03 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 67.46 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 39.94 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 52.45 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 30.67 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 51.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Finlay Cooke SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 16

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Shepherd SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Francis Lloyd SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                7   0  31  23  25
  AFC Wimbledon            18   0  19  33  40

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 3 (25 - 19) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            18   0  19  33  40
  Marine FC                7   0  31  23  25

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 9 (40 - 31); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 25) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 76.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 71.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 54.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 27.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 34.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 4
 
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