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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 06:31:29 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Goole AFC
Non League III
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           GOOLE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            13    2   15     Gk Matty Riley             8    0    8
Sw Sean Carroll           11    2   13     Sw Cristian Barone        11    1   12
Df Ciaran Healy           11    2   13     Df Jay Banks              12   -1   11
Df Luke Crowley           10    0   10     Df Andrew Marshall        11   -1   10
Df Finn Fitzgerald         8    2   10     Df Harrison George         9    2   11
Df Steve Gordon            6    2    8     Df Jonathan Larsen         8    0    8
Mf Sean Long              11    2   13     Mf Busby Næss             11   -1   10
Mf Bailey Oakes           10    2   12     Mf Glenn James             8   -1    7
Mf Joe Barrett            14    1   15     Mf Ellis Macbeth           8    2   10
Fw Michael Turner         13    2   15     Fw Leo O'Neal             10   -1    9
Fw Daniel Barbosa          6    2    8     Fw Jannis Lehmann          9   -1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 41 40 23        ROSTER TOTALS       8 12 40 27 17    
       0  3  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  1  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 41 40 32         T O T A L S       10 12 40 28 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.74 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.83 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.92 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.63 (no red card)

Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.72 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.95 (no red card)

Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.41 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.13 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 78.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 75.66 (no red card)

*******  GOOLE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Matty Riley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 30.21 (no red card)

Sw Cristian Barone: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 33.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 9.5 (no red card)

Df Jay Banks: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 45.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no red card)

Df Andrew Marshall: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 9.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 44.34 (no second yellow)

Df Harrison George: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 74.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 25.18 (no red card)

Mf Busby Næss: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 33.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 93.26 (no red card)

Mf Glenn James: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 46.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Macbeth: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 67.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 23.71 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Neal: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 20.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card)

Fw Jannis Lehmann: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 71.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 88.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.07 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 40.25 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 30.82 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) 
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.14 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Finn Fitzgerald is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Finn Fitzgerald new match skill level =  4
      Finn Fitzgerald new match total level =  6
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 41.66 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 21.22 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 36.39 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 42.38 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.17 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 6.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Daniel Barbosa is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Daniel Barbosa new match skill level =  3
      Daniel Barbosa new match total level =  5

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.0%
Gk Matty Riley: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury) 
Sw Cristian Barone: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no injury) 
Df Jay Banks: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Marshall: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 95.84 (no injury) 
Df Harrison George: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 15.8 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 24.73 (no injury) 
Mf Busby Næss: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 29.98 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn James: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 92.12 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Macbeth: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 6.53 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Neal: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 31.52 (no injury) 
Fw Jannis Lehmann: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Matty Riley SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Banks SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         15  16  37  40  29
  Goole AFC                10  12  40  28  19

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 40)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 6 ((40 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 6 ((37 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  GOOLE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Goole AFC                10  12  40  28  19
  Tonbridge Angels         15  16  37  40  29

Goole AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 37)
Goole AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Goole AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Goole AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Harrison George
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harrison George
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Harrison George
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Andrew Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  GOOLE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
A non league team at home, can’t complain. Unless we lose.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/18 - 6:04 PM
Made hard work of winning but did, just about.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/26 - 4:09 PM
 
 
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