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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DROYLSDEN FC                               KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Cameron Wells          13    1   14     Gk Archie Brakspear       11    2   13
Sw Carleton Clemence      12    2   14     Sw Denis Pearce           13    2   15
Df Edgar Moore            13    1   14     Df Jack Brennan           13    1   14
Df Nico König             13    0   13     Df Michio Mori            11    2   13
Df Randy Lane             10    0   10     Df William Munro           6    2    8
Mf Graham Banks           11    1   12     Mf Liam Cox               18    0   18
Mf Leon Laidlaw            6    2    8     Fw Danny Monkhouse         8    2   10
Fw Evan Smalls            15    1   16     Mf Ryan Welbeck            6    2    8
Fw Thomas King            12    1   13     Fw Owen Harrison          13    2   15
Fw Mathis Verschueren     11    0   11     Fw Isaac Fortune-West     12    1   13
Fw Jose Luis Soler         6    2    8     Fw Dominic Walker          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 37 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 35 26 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 37 25 52         T O T A L S       16 15 35 26 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Cameron Wells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card)

Sw Carleton Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no second yellow)

Df Edgar Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.63 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no red card)

Df Randy Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.49 (no red card)

Mf Graham Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)

Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.5 (no red card)

Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.68 (no red card)

Fw Thomas King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.68 (no red card)

Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.05 (no red card)

Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.3 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.0 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.12 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.58 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.36 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.98 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)

Fw Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.51 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.16 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.35 (no red card)

Fw Dominic Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Cameron Wells: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury) 
Sw Carleton Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.94 (no injury) 
Df Edgar Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.62 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.83 (no injury) 
Df Randy Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.03 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.14 (no injury) 
Fw Mathis Verschueren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.48 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.56 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.66 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.1 (no injury) 
Fw Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.11 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.89 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.9 (no injury) 
Fw Dominic Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Evan Smalls SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 11

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Cameron Wells SL 13

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             14  14  37  25  52
  Kingstonian FC           16  15  35  26  50

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jose Luis Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Jose Luis Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Thomas King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Evan Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Mathis Verschueren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           16  15  35  26  50
  Droylsden FC             14  14  37  25  52

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 13 (50 - 37); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 27.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dominic Walker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DROYLSDEN FC 2  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Not an outrageous result, but further proof the lucky bounces rarely go our way.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/01 - 10:58 PM
Yes - it was certainly closer than the scoreline suggests.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 06/02 - 3:04 AM
 
 
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