(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 15 2 17 Gk Kevin Hawkins 15 1 16
Df Gordon Brown 14 2 16 Df Gareth Trickelbank 11 0 11
Df Algernon Murphy 6 2 8 Df Hayden Duncan 6 2 8
Df Lucas Taylor 4 2 6 Df Oscar Anderson 3 2 5
Df Wes Fitzgerald 3 2 5 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 13 1 14
Mf Sylar Kelley 14 1 15 Mf Gareth Scott 11 0 11
Mf Sheng Guo 6 2 8 Mf Christopher Cannon 8 1 9
Fw Marcos Azevedo 13 0 13 Mf Henry Henry 6 2 8
Fw Arran Fergus 13 1 14 Fw William Hay 9 1 10
Fw Lincoln Johnson 11 2 13 Fw Nick Baumann 6 2 8
Fw Gerry Gray 3 2 5 Fw Shawn Hernandez 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 0 35 23 45 ROSTER TOTALS 16 0 24 42 23
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
17 0 44 23 45 T O T A L S 17 0 31 42 23
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card)
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.19 (no red card)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.02 (no second yellow)
Df Lucas Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.92 (no red card)
Df Wes Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.74 (no red card)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.14 (no red card)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.17 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.61 (no red card)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.56 (no red card)
Fw Gerry Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 81.31 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.99 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.07 (no red card)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.81 (no red card)
Df Oscar Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.58 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.17 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.84 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.01 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.81 (no red card)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card)
Fw Shawn Hernandez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.77 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury)
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.62 (no injury)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.24 (no injury)
Df Lucas Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury)
Df Wes Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.43 (no injury)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.68 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.85 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.08 (no injury)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.53 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Gray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.37 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.32 (no injury)
Df Oscar Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.68 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.33 (no injury)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.17 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.89 (no injury)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.65 (no injury)
Fw Shawn Hernandez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gabriel Welbeck SL 13
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 15
intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 17 0 44 23 45
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 0 31 42 23
AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 7 (45 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 5 ((44 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Algernon Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Gordon Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Gordon Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Gordon Brown
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Lucas Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 0 31 42 23
Welling United FC 17 0 44 23 45
Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 44)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 23) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 5; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Henry Henry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Henry Henry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Gareth Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Gareth Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 3 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1
Match Notes
Eduard Habermann travelling from Düsseldorf to watch this. The dedication is either admirable or a cry for help. Probably both.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/17 - 12:13 AM
Literally the worst possible draw.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/22 - 8:04 AM
Rushden's tactics were spot on, making this a near coin toss.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 9:18 PM
Lucky to survive. I wouldn't have minded a rematch and 5 extra CPs, though. ;-)
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 9:19 PM
Incredible. I threw this match to win in the league!
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/23 - 10:18 PM
Turns out it should have been even!!
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/23 - 10:18 PM