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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:20 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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York City FC
James Tucker
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lee Calhoun            12    2   14     Gk Robert Morgan          16    1   17
Sw Daniel Clarke          12    0   12     Df Gordon Brown           14    1   15
Df Ethan Shaw             13    2   15     Df Devon Allen            13    1   14
Df Gabriel Carvalho       10    2   12     Df Oscar Wood              7    1    8
Df Yul Sun                 6    2    8     Df Napoleon Bataille       4    2    6
Mf Luis Weber             10    2   12     Df Sylar Kelley           12    0   12
Mf Tom Fortune-West        6    2    8     Mf Jonas Koch             17    2   19
Fw Frank Gerrard          13    2   15     Mf Arran Fergus           11    1   12
Fw Reece Fortune-West     16   -1   15     Fw Nils Pettersson        12    0   12
Fw Carleton Baker         11    2   13     Mf Evan Gerrard            9    2   11
Fw Jakob Hofmann           6    2    8     Fw Lorenzo Santana         9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 35 20 51        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 55 42 22    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 12 36 20 60         T O T A L S       18  0 55 42 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.86 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.63 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.49 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.95 (no red card)

Df Yul Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.84 (no red card)

Mf Luis Weber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.96 (no red card)

Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.07 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.17 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.25 (no red card)

Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.58 (no red card)

Fw Jakob Hofmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.87 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 0.5 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.71 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.88 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.62 (no red card)

Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no red card)

Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.8 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card)

Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.98 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.17 (no second yellow)

Mf Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.74 (no second yellow)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.68 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.61 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.27 (no injury) 
Df Yul Sun: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.54 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Weber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.39 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.12 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.87 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.76 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) 
Fw Jakob Hofmann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.2 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 32.48 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.77 (no injury) 
Df Napoleon Bataille: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.88 (no injury) 
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.57 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.98 (no injury) 
Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.16 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.98 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.3 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reece Fortune-West SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Lee Calhoun SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             17  12  36  20  60
  Welling United FC        18   0  55  42  22

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (60 - 55) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 5 ((36 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Carleton Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18   0  55  42  22
  York City FC             17  12  36  20  60

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 36)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((42 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
A little bit unlucky, in a fairly even game.
James (York City FC) 01/31 - 8:50 AM
Only 2 of 8 shots on target.
James (York City FC) 01/31 - 8:51 AM
Lucky coin flip win
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/31 - 11:53 AM
Basically I wouldn't have minded a (won) rematch
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/31 - 11:53 AM
 
 
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