(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS CARLTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Elias Jönsson 12 1 13 Gk João Costa 5 2 7
Sw Sean Carroll 12 1 13 Sw Connor Pearson 5 2 7
Df Ciaran Healy 13 1 14 Df Chris Howard 14 0 14
Df William Larson 12 0 12 Df Murray Taylor 11 0 11
Df Steve Gordon 11 0 11 Df Francis Martin 10 1 11
Df Mathias Sørensen 10 1 11 Df Carleton Griffiths 6 2 8
Mf Sean Long 12 1 13 Df Luiz Silva 3 2 5
Mf Jordi Navarro 10 1 11 Mf Liam Dixon 12 0 12
Fw Jens Kristensen 13 2 15 Mf Ariza Carvalho 3 2 5
Fw Michael Turner 16 0 16 Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 0 15
Fw Daniel Barbosa 12 1 13 Fw Hayden Richardson 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 13 48 24 44 ROSTER TOTALS 7 7 49 17 23
3 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 6 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0
=======================================================================
16 13 48 30 47 T O T A L S 7 7 49 24 23
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 32.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 17.41 (no red card)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 36.1 (no red card)
Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no red card)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.12 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.88 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.92 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Sean Long new match skill level = 6
Sean Long new match total level = 7
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.33 (no red card)
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.75 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 88.83 (no second yellow)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.33 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk João Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.15 (no red card)
Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.19 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.61 (no red card)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.08 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.44 (no red card)
Df Luiz Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.96 (no second yellow)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.79 (no red card)
Mf Ariza Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.16 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.05 (no injury)
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.0 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.11 (no injury)
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.05 (no injury)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.25 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.5 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.78 (no injury)
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.39 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.53 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.31 (no injury)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk João Costa: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 0.15 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
João Costa is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
João Costa new match skill level = 3
João Costa new match total level = 5
Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 5.02 (no injury)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.94 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 72.93 (no injury)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury)
Df Luiz Silva: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.01 (no injury)
Mf Ariza Carvalho: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.08 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 2.38 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Sveinur Hansen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.87 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: João Costa SL 3
intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 16 13 48 24 47
Carlton Town FC 5 7 49 24 23
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 49)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((48 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df William Larson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df William Larson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 78.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df William Larson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 59.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 18.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 5 7 49 24 23
Tonbridge Angels 16 13 48 24 47
Carlton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 48)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 47) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Francis Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2 - CARLTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Carlton Town arrive. Shaw will make them deeply uncomfortable and score exactly once. The FA Cup, indifferent as ever, waits.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/17 - 12:13 AM
A home tie gives us the edge. Good luck Mike.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/18 - 3:25 PM
Andy Shaw comes from Middlesbrough, manages defensively, and somehow ends up in the FA Cup with a clean sheet. The universe continues to generate outcomes I find neither surprising nor interesting.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/23 - 7:30 PM
We just about deserved to win but it was a tight match.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/27 - 5:24 PM