(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maximilian Isaksson 13 2 15 Gk Gordon Wilkins 15 1 16 Df Delling Andersen 9 0 9 Sw Luís Morais 12 2 14 Df Graham Sansom 9 0 9 Df Lucas Soramaki 11 -1 10 Df Ellis Fisher 9 0 9 Df Simon Charlton 11 0 11 Mf Luca Cole 11 0 11 Mf Ashton Ali 13 0 13 Mf Daniel James 10 0 10 Mf Christopher Cannon 3 2 5 Mf Juan Fernández 6 0 6 Fw Angus Williamson 15 0 15 Mf William Pedersen 5 2 7 Fw Mark Solomon 11 2 13 Fw Adam Shaw 9 0 9 Fw Giles Lee 9 0 9 Fw Claudio Gentile 7 0 7 Fw Harvey Davis 7 2 9 Fw Andrew Young 6 0 6 Fw Sam East 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 0 27 34 22 ROSTER TOTALS 16 14 21 18 51 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 0 27 34 31 T O T A L S 16 14 21 18 51 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.71 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.25 (no red card) Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.71 (no red card) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.48 (no red card) Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.58 (no red card) Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.14 (no red card) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.09 (no red card) Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.72 (no red card) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.44 (no red card) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.27 (no red card) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.36 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.32 (no red card) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.3 (no red card) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.09 (no red card) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.46 (no red card) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.95 (no red card) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.31 (no red card) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.93 (no red card) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.35 (no red card) Fw Giles Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card) Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.08 (no red card) Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.6 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.39 (no injury) Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury) Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no injury) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.49 (no injury) Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.27 (no injury) Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.86 (no injury) Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.58 (no injury) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no injury) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 98.0 (no injury) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.92 (no injury) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.16 (no injury) Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.62 (no injury) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.8 (no injury) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no injury) Fw Giles Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.24 (no injury) Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.48 (no injury) Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.83 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Luca Cole SL 11 - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15 intRndPk = 47 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Angus Williamson SL 15 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 13 intRndPk = 80 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 15 0 27 34 31 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 16 14 21 18 51 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 10 (31 - 21); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((34 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 51) / 5; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Luca Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Mf Daniel James Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Daniel James Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Daniel James Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Daniel James Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 33.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Andrew Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Andrew Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Andrew Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 16 14 21 18 51 Forest Green Rovers FC 15 0 27 34 31 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 24 (51 - 27); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 34) / 2; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 31) / 3; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Sam East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Giles Lee Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 3
Match Notes
Road cup games are always difficult
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/27 - 12:47 AM
cup games are always difficult for us :-)
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/31 - 7:51 PM