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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           11    2   13     Gk Euan Fleming           15    2   17
Sw Declan Wilson          14    2   16     Sw Douglas Pereira        15    2   17
Df Matty Parsons          13    2   15     Df Jake McDonald          14    1   15
Df Jannick Schmitz        14    1   15     Df Amine Monteil           6    2    8
Df Barry Fortune-West     10    2   12     Mf Thomas Williams        14    1   15
Mf Donald Brown            9    2   11     Mf Eoghan Carroll         17    2   19
Mf Esteban Gallet          6    2    8     Fw Greg Scott             11    2   13
Fw Leon Fischer           13    1   14     Fw Gordon Andrews         11    0   11
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    2   15     Fw Lorenzo Santana        10    1   11
Fw Luca König             13    0   13     Fw Nils Pettersson         6    2    8
Fw Kai Burke              10    2   12     Fw Samuel Rose             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 42 19 54        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 23 34 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  2  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 42 21 63         T O T A L S       18 17 23 34 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.58 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.77 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.62 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.92 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.6 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.56 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.89 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.5 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 13.21 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.14 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.03 (no red card)

Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.21 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.37 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.22 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.03 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.33 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.53 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 9.1 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.24 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.61 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.89 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.63 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.5 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.45 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.83 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.4 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.34 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 15.9 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.07 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.14 (no injury) 
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.36 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Thomas Williams is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Thomas Williams new match skill level =  7
      Thomas Williams new match total level =  8
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.09 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.37 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.29 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.64 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.7 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eoghan Carroll SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 11

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         16  16  42  21  63
  Welling United FC        18  17  23  27  51

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 40 (63 - 23); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
37: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  17  23  27  51
  Ilkeston Town FC         16  16  42  21  63

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 9 (51 - 42); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  WELLING UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
Give me strength!
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 05/25 - 9:41 PM
Enough strength given!?
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/08 - 9:10 AM
 
 
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