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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mark Daugherty         13    0   13     Gk Dylan Foster           13    0   13
Sw Declan Wilson          13    0   13     Sw Jason Meyer            13    0   13
Df Matty Parsons          13    0   13     Df Fabian Schulz          16    0   16
Df Jannick Schmitz        14    0   14     Df Robin Ostrander        10    0   10
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    0   10     Mf Harrison McBrayne      11    0   11
Mf Donald Brown            9    0    9     Mf Cameron Hill           10    0   10
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    0   13     Mf Jung Hee  Kwon         10    0   10
Fw Luca König             13    0   13     Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    0   13
Fw Kai Burke              10    0   10     Fw William Johnson        10    0   10
Fw Moritz Schultze         5    2    7     Fw Facundo Bruno           5    2    7
Fw Mark Wilson             2    2    4     Fw Jamie Carroll           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 27 19 47        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 26 31 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 27 19 56         T O T A L S       13 13 26 31 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.08 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.03 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.55 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.47 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.63 (no second yellow)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.84 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.81 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.07 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.24 (no red card)

Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.31 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.34 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.57 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.69 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no red card)

Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.05 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.62 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.2 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.05 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.97 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.36 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Declan Wilson is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Declan Wilson new match skill level =  7
      Declan Wilson new match total level =  7
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.25 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.49 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.89 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.44 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.58 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.64 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.77 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.57 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.04 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.55 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.14 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.0 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      William Johnson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      William Johnson new match skill level =  5
      William Johnson new match total level =  5
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.93 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 13

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         13   7  27  19  56
  Luton Town FC            13  13  26  31  32

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 30 (56 - 26); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Mark Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            13  13  26  31  32
  Ilkeston Town FC         13   7  27  19  56

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (32 - 27); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  LUTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
This will be difficult on the road.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/18 - 2:10 PM
Gave this a decent run on the road.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/25 - 12:12 PM
 
 
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