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Wednesday, December 4th, 2024 - 08:38:10 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joe Cameron             7    0    7     Gk Morgan James           13    0   13
Df Finlay Cooke            8    0    8     Sw Noah Smalls            10    0   10
Df Tihamér Pap             7    0    7     Df Kåre  Sivertsen        11    0   11
Df Harrison Rowbotham      6    0    6     Df Sebastian Castillo     10    0   10
Df Gordon Shaw             5    0    5     Df Quentin Lesage          2    2    4
Mf Glenn Ellis             8    0    8     Mf Damien Monin           10    0   10
Mf Bailey Hills            8    0    8     Mf Santiago Rojas          5    2    7
Mf Andrea Marino           7    0    7     Fw Carrington Wilkins     13    0   13
Fw Cristobal Saez          9    0    9     Fw Billy Moore            16    0   16
Fw Reuben Dowson           7    0    7     Fw Sebastian Colombo      10    0   10
Fw Lucas Le gal            4    0    4     Fw Shay  Holland           7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  0 26 23 20        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 25 17 46    
       0  0  2  2  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  0 30 27 25         T O T A L S       13 10 25 17 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.87 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 40.02 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 95.31 (no red card)

Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 52.03 (no red card)

Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 7.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 37.74 (no second yellow)

Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 96.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 85.09 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 82.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 20.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 36.11 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 39.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 3.68 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.18 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.22 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.65 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.32 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.36 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.06 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.07 (no red card)

Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 76.2 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.07 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.2 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.35 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.53 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.0 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Glenn Ellis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Glenn Ellis new match skill level =  4
      Glenn Ellis new match total level =  4
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.46 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.96 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.94 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.27 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Morgan James is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Morgan James new match skill level =  7
      Morgan James new match total level =  7
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 79.87 (no injury) 
Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.68 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 99.94 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 84.01 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Santiago Rojas is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 94.8 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.71 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury) 
Fw Shay  Holland: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 70.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 7

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                7   0  30  23  25
  Boston United            7  10  25  17  46

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 25)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrea Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Andrea Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            7  10  25  17  46
  Marine FC                7   0  30  23  25

Boston United Fw Attacks = 16 (46 - 30); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Shay  Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Shay  Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 51.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Shay  Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 40.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 0  -  BOSTON UNITED 4
 
Match Notes
Getting out of the first round of the FA Cup is always a primary goal.
Rob (Boston United) 05/18 - 3:03 PM
I had no idea Derek was coming in spikes-up! Physios were frantically tending to GK James after a near-critical injury. Thankfully, he is not expected to miss any time.
Rob (Boston United) 05/19 - 1:14 AM
 
 
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