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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 05:01:17 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jake Flynn             11    0   11     Gk Matty Moore            14    0   14
Sw Julian Moreno           5    2    7     Df Oscar Evans            13    0   13
Df Lok Guo                13    0   13     Df Alejandro García       10    0   10
Df Max Hermansson         10    0   10     Mf Manuel Iglesias        13    0   13
Df Ben Collins             5    2    7     Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald      16    0   16
Df James Dunn              2    2    4     Mf Baron Fisher           10    0   10
Mf Harvey Allen           17    0   17     Mf Kenny Fitzgerald        6    2    8
Mf Kyle Moore             10    0   10     Fw Carrington Bates       13    0   13
Mf Carlton Bishop          5    2    7     Fw Harry Pastor           13    0   13
Fw Alexander Stewart      13    0   13     Fw Ben Butcher            10    0   10
Fw Gerry Walker            5    2    7     Fw Peter Harding           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  7 34 34 20        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 23 47 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  7 43 34 20         T O T A L S       14  0 23 47 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.54 (no red card)

Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.27 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.22 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.82 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.1 (no red card)

Df James Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.16 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.5 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.28 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.59 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.3 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.74 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.51 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.37 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.12 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.4 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.17 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.41 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.42 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.62 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no injury) 
Df James Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.05 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.12 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.13 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.62 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.77 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.71 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.76 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.16 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.95 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.42 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.76 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.44 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 14

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tyrone Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 11

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          11   7  43  34  20
  AFC Wimbledon            14   0  23  47  43

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 23)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            14   0  23  47  43
  Bedford Town FC          11   7  43  34  20

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 43)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 7 ((47 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Oscar Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Kenny Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 11.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 61.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 1
 
Match Notes
Got a beating written all over this game
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 01/10 - 9:28 AM
Bedford seems confident……I thought we might be able to at least get a replay
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/10 - 3:25 PM
I see some goals here.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 01/10 - 5:13 PM
Dave gets lucky again 😂
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 01/11 - 2:50 PM
Would it help Compo if Dave said he was "lucky" or "you were robbed Compo"?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/11 - 3:21 PM
We were lucky today against a solid Bedford squad on their pitch
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/11 - 4:23 PM
I might add the Fitzgerald may be key to a successful rebuild
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/11 - 4:24 PM
 
 
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