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Thursday, November 21st, 2024 - 05:43:57 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           13    0   13     Gk Gabriel Taylor         12    0   12
Df Jake McDonald          14    0   14     Sw Martin Denis            0    0    0
Df Ian Jackson            10    0   10     Df Lennard Richter         6    0    6
Df Benjamin Charlton      10    0   10     Df Trevor Harewood         5    2    7
Mf Leon Baumann           14    0   14     Df Gabriel Williams        2    2    4
Mf Josè Guerrero          10    0   10     Mf Michael Möller          5    2    7
Mf Leon Jackson            8    0    8     Mf Benjamin Healy          2    2    4
Fw Gordon Andrews         11    0   11     Fw Glenn Cook              7    0    7
Fw Greg Scott             10    0   10     Fw John Coppell            7    0    7
Fw Ashley Reynolds         9    0    9     Fw William Torres          5    2    7
Fw Samuel Rose             5    2    7     Fw Ian Hunter              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 34 32 37        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 17 11 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 34 33 45         T O T A L S       12  3 21 11 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.27 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.09 (no red card)

Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.84 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.04 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.91 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card)

Mf Leon Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.23 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.77 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no second yellow)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.56 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gabriel Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.4 (no red card)

Sw Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.32 (no red card)

Df Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.66 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.45 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.67 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.72 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.44 (no red card)

Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.14 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.87 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no second yellow)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.79 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury) 
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.01 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no injury) 
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.36 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.92 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.6 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.68 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.11 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gabriel Taylor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.46 (no injury) 
Sw Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury) 
Df Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.21 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.21 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury) 
Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.12 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.56 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.14 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jake McDonald SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gabriel Taylor SL 12

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Glenn Cook SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 13

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        13   0  34  33  45
  Harrogate Railway AFC    12   3  21  11  25

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 24 (45 - 21); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((33 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 62.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Leon Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Leon Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Leon Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Josè Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Josè Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 76.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Josè Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Josè Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 60 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 64 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 38 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    12   3  21  11  25
  Welling United FC        13   0  34  33  45

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 34)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 7  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Obviously an "optimized" draw for the commish:
HAR gets the team with most suspensions
Eduard (Welling United FC) 04/28 - 9:21 AM
Ha! Well, we do not fancy our chances today against the defending FA Cup champs on the road...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 04/28 - 10:24 PM
WEL have lost ALL FA Cup matches vs HAR
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/14 - 4:43 PM
We haven't even won a SINGLE match in ANY cup against Al - in SEVEN attempts!
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/14 - 4:45 PM
There's a first time for everything...next time.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 05/18 - 4:22 AM
Congratulations Eduard. No chance for our poor Beavers in this contest...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/18 - 8:08 PM
 
 
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