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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
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FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            12    0   12     Gk Morgan James           12    0   12
Sw Aarron Lowe            14    0   14     Df Sebastian Castillo     13    0   13
Df Louis Butler           13    0   13     Df Timothy Holden         13    0   13
Df Luke Jackson           10    0   10     Df Quentin Lesage          5    2    7
Mf Henning Pedersen       10    0   10     Mf Damien Monin           13    0   13
Mf Manuel Iglesias         5    2    7     Mf Louis Mora             12    0   12
Mf Baron Fisher            2    2    4     Mf Baron Palmer           10    0   10
Fw Marty Allen            15    0   15     Mf Santiago Rojas         10    0   10
Fw Isaac Howells          13    0   13     Mf Gunnar Vik              5    2    7
Fw Reuben Thomas          13    0   13     Fw Billy Moore            13    0   13
Fw Carrington Bates        5    2    7     Fw Giorgio Sanna           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 23 21 48        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 33 52 20    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 23 21 57         T O T A L S       12  0 33 52 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.49 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.49 (no second yellow)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.84 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.55 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.05 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.11 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.74 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.69 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.14 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.72 (no red card)

Df Timothy Holden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.94 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.95 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.79 (no red card)

Mf Louis Mora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.81 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.4 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.03 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.92 (no second yellow)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.18 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.12 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.19 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.39 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.28 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.23 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.87 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.32 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.51 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 31.61 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.32 (no injury) 
Df Timothy Holden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.67 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.73 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.81 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Mora: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Louis Mora is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.17 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.57 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Gunnar Vik is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.62 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Allen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 12

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Castillo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            13  14  23  21  57
  Boston United            12   0  33  52  20

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 24 (57 - 33); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Luke Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 96.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 11.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            12   0  33  52  20
  AFC Wimbledon            13  14  23  21  57

Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 23)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 16 ((52 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Louis Mora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Louis Mora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Louis Mora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Louis Mora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 5  -  BOSTON UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Boston has no gimme matches in this first session. Can we play T11 in all 3? We might have to!
Rob (Boston United) 01/04 - 3:51 PM
Not quite sure why we are favored in this one?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 4:47 PM
Touts stacking it high against BOS here!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 6:23 PM
Well this certainly didn't go our way. Looks like we're heading for the Shield.
Rob (Boston United) 01/11 - 3:48 PM
 
 
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