(N)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan 15 0 15 Gk Florian De Vos 12 1 13
Sw Douglas Pereira 8 0 8 Sw Shane Sweeney 6 2 8
Df Devon Allen 13 1 14 Df Henry Martin 13 1 14
Df Luca Herrmann 8 0 8 Df Gabriel Williams 13 2 15
Mf Jonas Koch 17 2 19 Df Freddy Arboleda 10 2 12
Mf Thomas Williams 5 1 6 Df Vegar Aas 10 1 11
Fw Arran Fergus 13 1 14 Mf Benjamin Healy 13 1 14
Fw Evan Gerrard 11 1 12 Mf Gregor Millar 10 2 12
Fw Samuel Rose 10 0 10 Fw Conor Thompson 13 0 13
Fw Greg Scott 9 0 9 Fw Gordon Burroughs 15 2 17
Fw William Murphy 6 2 8 Fw Justin Neumann 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 8 22 25 53 ROSTER TOTALS 13 8 52 26 42
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 8 22 25 53 T O T A L S 13 8 52 26 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 39.38 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.37 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.68 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.23 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.47 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.35 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.51 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.52 (no red card)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.58 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.71 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.28 (no red card)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.46 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.32 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.52 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.38 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.55 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.23 (no second yellow)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.25 (no red card)
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.69 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 37.0 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.37 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.58 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.46 (no injury)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.7 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.49 (no injury)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.39 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.06 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.58 (no injury)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.64 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.66 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.8 (no injury)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.53 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.73 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.71 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.41 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.86 (no injury)
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.98 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.3 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 17
- Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 12
intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gordon Burroughs SL 15
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 45 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 16 8 22 25 53
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 8 52 26 42
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 1 (53 - 52); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 13 8 52 26 42
Welling United FC 16 8 22 25 53
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (42 - 22); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 98.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Gordon Burroughs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 0 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2
Match Notes
All you need to know is that we've beaten Welling once in the past 8 seasons. We are 6-goal underdogs today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/11 - 3:16 PM
Winner qualifies. Welling qualifies in a draw. Harrogate qualifies in a draw if the other game is also a draw.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/11 - 4:03 PM
Fortunate to get our first win against Welling in many seasons. Well played Eduard.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/17 - 10:46 PM
> Well played Eduard.
Not really - HAR clearly wanted it more.
Not really - HAR clearly wanted it more.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/23 - 9:50 PM