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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Goole AFC
Non League III
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          GOOLE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          12    1   13     Gk Charles Munier         11    0   11
Df Louie Ince             14    0   14     Sw Paul Smith             12    0   12
Df Jake McDonald          10    0   10     Df Jonathan Larsen        13   -1   12
Df Ellis Cleverley         4    2    6     Df Simon Grange           11   -1   10
Df Oscar Wood              2    2    4     Df Evan Buckley            8   -1    7
Mf Jonas Koch             14    1   15     Df Haavard Ødegård         8    0    8
Mf Leon Baumann           14    1   15     Df Andrew Marshall         8    2   10
Mf Thomas Williams        14    0   14     Mf Algernon Taylor        11   -1   10
Mf Bernd Lang              6    2    8     Mf Glenn James            11    1   12
Fw Samuel Rose            11    1   12     Fw Paul Schmitt           10   -1    9
Fw Arran Fergus            6    2    8     Fw Ignacio Muslera        10   -1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 34 52 20        ROSTER TOTALS      11 12 47 22 18    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  2  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 34 52 20         T O T A L S       13 14 49 24 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 34.99 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.69 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.31 (no red card)

Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.27 (no red card)

Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.56 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.06 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.68 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.53 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

*******  GOOLE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 8
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Charles Munier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 36.96 (no red card)

Sw Paul Smith: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 93.15 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 0.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 21.56 (no second yellow)

Df Simon Grange: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 54.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 9.53 (no red card)

Df Evan Buckley: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 9.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 6.13 (no second yellow)

Df Haavard Ødegård: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 18.65 (no red card)

Df Andrew Marshall: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 98.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 88.89 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Taylor: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 86.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)

Mf Glenn James: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no red card)

Fw Paul Schmitt: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 21.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 28.0 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Muslera: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 23.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 24.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 8
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 4.37% | Random number = 56.76 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 35.51 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 87.17 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 86.37 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 1.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Leon Baumann is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 89.58 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 10.26 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no injury) 

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 8
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Charles Munier: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 47.88 (no injury) 
Sw Paul Smith: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 52.41 (no injury) 
Df Simon Grange: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 63.41 (no injury) 
Df Evan Buckley: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 64.99 (no injury) 
Df Haavard Ødegård: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Marshall: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 9.41 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Taylor: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 96.03 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn James: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 86.22 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Schmitt: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 1.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Paul Schmitt is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Ignacio Muslera: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 11.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 8; (8 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Charles Munier SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 57 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonathan Larsen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        14   0  34  52  20
  Goole AFC                13  14  49  24  18

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 49)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((52 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((34 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Ellis Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  GOOLE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Goole AFC                13  14  49  24  18
  Welling United FC        14   0  34  52  20

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Goole AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 34)
Goole AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Goole AFC Df Attacks = 10 ((49 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Goole AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Andrew Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Andrew Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Haavard Ødegård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Haavard Ødegård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Jonathan Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Simon Grange
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Jonathan Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Jonathan Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Andrew Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Haavard Ødegård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 2  -  GOOLE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Welling are thru and Goole are eliminated already
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:58 AM
Yay, no injuries!
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/18 - 1:26 PM
 
 
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