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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:57:03 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             11    1   12     Gk Erik Lundqvist          2    2    4
Df Cliff Trickelbank      10    0   10     Df Simon Bellec           16    0   16
Df Evan Burke             10    1   11     Df Nathan Milner           6    2    8
Df Jared Lampton           6    2    8     Df Logan Hughes            2    2    4
Mf Lucas Phillips         10    0   10     Mf James Gallaher         10    0   10
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       6    2    8     Mf Logan Stewart           6    2    8
Mf Jay Campbell            2    2    4     Mf Trevor King             6    2    8
Mf Francis Jankel          2    2    4     Mf Morgan Moore            2    2    4
Fw Raphaël Soulie         13    1   14     Fw Max Daly               12    0   12
Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    2   15     Fw Ashley Ellis            6    2    8
Fw Tyler MacDonald         6    2    8     Fw Dorian Moine            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 29 26 37        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 28 30 24    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 29 26 37         T O T A L S        4  0 28 30 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.06 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.15 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.89 (no red card)

Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.52 (no red card)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.69 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.14 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.94 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.14 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.42 (no red card)

Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.62 (no red card)

Df Nathan Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.5 (no red card)

Df Logan Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)

Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)

Mf Trevor King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)

Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.34 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.88 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)

Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 58.46 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.88 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.36 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.67 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.05 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.5 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.99 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Jermaine Bennett is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jermaine Bennett new match skill level =  7
      Jermaine Bennett new match total level =  9
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 53.38 (no injury) 
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.66 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.27 (no injury) 
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.51 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 
Mf Trevor King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.07 (no injury) 
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.09 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.63 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.22 (no injury) 
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Raphaël Soulie SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Erik Lundqvist SL 2

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Bellec SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  29  26  31
  AFC Fylde                4   0  28  30  24

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 3 (31 - 28); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((29 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Evan Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 25.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                4   0  28  30  24
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13   0  29  26  31

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 29)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 31) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  AFC FYLDE 2
 
Match Notes
Winner qualifies. If the teams draw and the other game isn't a draw, Swindon qualifies.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/11 - 4:04 PM
We wish Mr McIntosh luck against his old nemesis. Battle of the lawyers.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 01/17 - 6:09 PM
 
 
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