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Thursday, November 21st, 2024 - 04:59:24 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Goole AFC
Non League III
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     GOOLE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            13    0   13     Gk Charles Munier         11    0   11
Sw Dave Nguyen            13    0   13     Df Simon Grange           13    0   13
Df Thomas McIntyre        10    0   10     Df Evan Buckley           11    0   11
Df Mason Shaw              5    2    7     Df Haavard Ødegård         9    0    9
Df Evan Burke              2    2    4     Df Jonathan Larsen         8    2   10
Mf William Carney         13    0   13     Df Charles Evans           7    0    7
Mf Liam Murphy            16    0   16     Mf Luis Miguel Gallardo   11    0   11
Mf Mons Nygård             9    0    9     Mf Algernon Taylor        10    0   10
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez      7    0    7     Mf Kevin Doyle             8    0    8
Fw Kenneth Anderson        6    0    6     Fw Joseph Carr            11    0   11
Fw Raphaël Soulie          2    2    4     Fw Carlton Cockham        11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 21 38 17        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 50 29 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  1  1  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 21 38 17         T O T A L S       13  1 51 30 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.25 (no red card)

Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.57 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.31 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.15 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.54 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.06 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.75 (no red card)

Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.78 (no red card)

*******  GOOLE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Charles Munier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 87.03 (no red card)

Df Simon Grange: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.56 (no second yellow)

Df Evan Buckley: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 78.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 3.71 (no red card)

Df Haavard Ødegård: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 89.75 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 21.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)

Df Charles Evans: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 82.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 84.22 (no red card)

Mf Luis Miguel Gallardo: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 0.08 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Luis Miguel Gallardo new match skill level =  6
      Luis Miguel Gallardo new match total level =  6

Mf Algernon Taylor: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 63.31 (no red card)

Mf Kevin Doyle: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 3.31 (no red card)

Fw Joseph Carr: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 27.09 (no second yellow)

Fw Carlton Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 5.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 43.92 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no injury) 
Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 83.46 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 12.95 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 22.05 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 24.45 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 23.53 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 7.85 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 51.82 (no injury) 
Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.6 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 65.27 (no injury) 

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Goole AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Charles Munier: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 86.21 (no injury) 
Df Simon Grange: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.96 (no injury) 
Df Evan Buckley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.43 (no injury) 
Df Haavard Ødegård: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.41 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Larsen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.64 (no injury) 
Df Charles Evans: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.62 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Miguel Gallardo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.02 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Mf Kevin Doyle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Fw Joseph Carr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.71 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  GOOLE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Charles Munier SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Grange SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 13

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13  13  21  38  17
  Goole AFC                13   0  51  25  23

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 51)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Goole AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  GOOLE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Goole AFC                13   0  51  25  23
  Swindon Supermarine FC   13  13  21  38  17

Goole AFC Fw Attacks = 2 (23 - 21); result rounded up
Goole AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Goole AFC Df Attacks = 7 ((51 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Goole AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Simon Grange
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Simon Grange
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Simon Grange
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Evan Buckley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Simon Grange
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Jonathan Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Jonathan Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Carlton Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Carlton Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  GOOLE AFC 1
 
Match Notes
The over/under on injuries for John's team today is 2.5...I'm taking the over...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 04/28 - 10:26 PM
 
 
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