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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:57:02 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         12    0   12     Gk Ryan Caron             11    0   11
Sw Shane Sweeney           5    2    7     Df Daniel Baldwin         10    0   10
Df Henry Martin           13    0   13     Df Cliff Trickelbank      10    0   10
Df Vegar Aas              10    0   10     Df Jared Lampton           5    2    7
Df Trevor Harewood         8    0    8     Mf Lucas Phillips         10    0   10
Df James Hays              5    2    7     Mf Mons Nygård             5    0    5
Mf Benjamin Healy         13    0   13     Fw Joe Baker              10    0   10
Mf Michael Möller          7    0    7     Fw Aidan Anderson         10    0   10
Fw Ian Hunter             13    0   13     Fw Agustin Martínez        6    0    6
Fw Conor Thompson         13    0   13     Fw Tyler MacDonald         5    2    7
Fw William Torres          9    0    9     Fw Kai Williams            5    0    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  7 38 20 35        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 27 15 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  7 38 20 35         T O T A L S       12  0 27 15 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.45 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.43 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.43 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.88 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.09 (no red card)

Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.92 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.81 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.83 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 56.58 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.01 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.81 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.0 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.57 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.9 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.71 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.24 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.33 (no second yellow)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.91 (no red card)

Fw Kai Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.8 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.24 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.2 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.7 (no injury) 
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.77 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.25 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.46 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.76 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.45 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.52 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 24.05 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.66 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.12 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.21 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.74 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.38 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.14 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.11 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Henry Martin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Daniel Baldwin SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 12

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    12   7  38  20  35
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  27  15  38

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (35 - 27); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 87.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 10.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  27  15  38
  Harrogate Railway AFC    12   7  38  20  35

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 38)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0
 
Match Notes
John has dominated this fixture. Our poor Beavers have lost the last three contests...sigh...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/10 - 12:51 AM
Fortunate to get a win today against John and his talented Supermariners.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/11 - 2:47 PM
 
 
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