(N)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Benjamin Guery 2 2 4 Gk Kieran Singh 5 0 5
Df Dylan Cameron 5 0 5 Df Mathias Garreau 6 2 8
Df Joshua Evans 5 1 6 Df Felipe Cardoso 6 2 8
Df Chris Howard 2 2 4 Df Graham Sansom 5 0 5
Mf Thomas Mason 6 1 7 Df Daniel James 4 0 4
Mf Federico Gentile 5 2 7 Mf Martin Kristensen 5 2 7
Mf Mariano Lopez 5 1 6 Mf Alfredo Vargas 5 2 7
Fw Taylor Cockayne 11 0 11 Mf Devon Lennon 2 2 4
Fw Santiago Rubio 9 1 10 Mf Taylor Gerrard 2 2 4
Fw George Shaw 9 0 9 Fw Gabriel Whiteside 2 2 4
Fw Rhys McColl 6 2 8 Fw Moritz Hofmann 2 2 4
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
4 0 15 20 38 ROSTER TOTALS 5 0 25 22 8
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
4 0 15 20 38 T O T A L S 5 0 25 22 8
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.24 (no red card)
Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no red card)
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.84 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.25 (no red card)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.32 (no red card)
Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.23 (no red card)
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.61 (no red card)
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.05 (no red card)
Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.29 (no red card)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.51 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.61 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.26 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.36 (no red card)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.43 (no red card)
Df Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.8 (no red card)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.53 (no red card)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.65 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.05 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.19 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.14 (no injury)
Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no injury)
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury)
Mf Mariano Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.4 (no injury)
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.51 (no injury)
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury)
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.6 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.12 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no injury)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.06 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Felipe Cardoso loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Felipe Cardoso new match skill level = 3
Felipe Cardoso new match total level = 5
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.62 (no injury)
Df Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no injury)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no injury)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.83 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.82 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.13 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.65 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Taylor Cockayne SL 11
- Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 5
intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mathias Garreau SL 6
- Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 2
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 4 0 15 20 38
Forest Green Rovers FC 5 0 22 22 8
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (38 - 22); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((15 - 8) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Df Dylan Cameron
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 48.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 67.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 1.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 93.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 57.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 38.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 54.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 63.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 23.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 68.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 12.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 5 0 22 22 8
Carlton Town FC 4 0 15 20 38
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (8 - 15)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 38) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Alfredo Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 5.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 6 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
Match Notes
Carlton guaranteed thru with a (yikes) 7-goal win. FGR need Chasetown to lose and to make up a lot of goal difference.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:57 AM
Otherwise Carlton need to better Chasetown's result to advance
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:57 AM
yikes a 6-goal win.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/15 - 10:53 PM
awful, just awful
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/15 - 10:53 PM