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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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York City FC
James Tucker
 
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Mark Creasey
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcus Mathisen        13    1   14     Gk Kieran Singh            7    0    7
Sw Maximillian Beerman    11    0   11     Sw Dae-Jung  Park          4    0    4
Df Tom Cole               13    1   14     Df Theo Cole               4    1    5
Df Ethan Shaw              6    2    8     Df Mathias Garreau         2    2    4
Df Joshua Smith            6    2    8     Df Felipe Cardoso          2    2    4
Df Barry Lane              2    2    4     Mf William Pedersen        5    2    7
Mf Jacob Wilson            8    1    9     Mf Conor Farrell           5    2    7
Mf Ethan Marsh             6    2    8     Mf Martin Kristensen       2    2    4
Fw Michael White          10    1   11     Mf Alfredo Vargas          2    2    4
Fw Reece Fortune-West      6    2    8     Fw Andrew Young            6    0    6
Fw Brandon Booth           2    2    4     Fw Ashley Lennon           3    0    3

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 11 34 17 23        ROSTER TOTALS       7  4 13 22  9    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  6  1  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 40 18 23         T O T A L S        7  4 13 22  9    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.81 (no red card)

Sw Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.39 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.72 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.98 (no red card)

Df Joshua Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.33 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.67 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.18 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.68 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.09 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.43 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.73 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.46 (no red card)

Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.62 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.62 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.36 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.61 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.96 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.22 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no second yellow)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.73 (no injury) 
Sw Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.61 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.22 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.03 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.4 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.71 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.35 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.09 (no injury) 
Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.53 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.78 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.76 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.92 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.48 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.32 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Cole SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 7

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andrew Young SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 13

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             14  11  40  18  23
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   4  13  22   9

York City FC is Playing For A Draw!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 5 (23 - 13) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((40 - 9) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Barry Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Tom Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 59.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 10.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   4  13  22   9
  York City FC             14  11  40  18  23

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (9 - 40)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((13 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 1  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
 
Match Notes
FGR are out. York thru with a win or draw, or a loss if Rainworth lose (unless Rainworth win by so much Carlton lose -4 GD).
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:21 AM
FGR are out.....
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/31 - 7:45 PM
 
 
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