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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Walsh             15    2   17     Gk Robert Morgan          15    2   17
Sw Rendor Veres           15    2   17     Sw Archie Milner          12    2   14
Df Adam Clarke            10    2   12     Df Gordon Brown           14    2   16
Df Noah Thompson           6    2    8     Df Devon Allen            13    1   14
Mf Lior Tal               10    2   12     Mf Evan Burns             14    2   16
Mf Antonin Bourguignon     6    2    8     Mf Sylar Kelley           14    1   15
Fw Abe Chavez             13    0   13     Fw Marcos Azevedo         13    0   13
Fw Ian Lee                11    2   13     Fw Evan Gerrard           13    1   14
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo          11    2   13     Fw Lincoln Johnson        11    2   13
Fw Markus Laursen         14    0   14     Fw William Murphy         10    1   11
Fw Francis Wilson          6    2    8     Fw Scott Marshall          9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 20 20 61        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 30 31 61    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 22 22 66         T O T A L S       20 14 30 31 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.3 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.0 (no red card)

Df Noah Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.81 (no red card)

Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)

Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.73 (no red card)

Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.09 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.28 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 43.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no red card)

Sw Archie Milner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.82 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.35 (no red card)

Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.66 (no red card)

Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.77 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.89 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.28 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 26.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.62 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.1 (no red card)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 98.95 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.31 (no injury) 
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.6 (no injury) 
Df Noah Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.25 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.21 (no injury) 
Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.18 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 5.29 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.16 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 15.89 (no injury) 
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.45 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.66 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Devon Allen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.12 (no injury) 
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Sylar Kelley is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Sylar Kelley new match skill level =  7
      Sylar Kelley new match total level =  8
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.78 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.16 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.06 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Markus Laursen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 15

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         17  17  22  22  66
  Welling United FC        20  14  30  24  61

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 36 (66 - 30); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 18.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 55.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 21.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        20  14  30  24  61
  Burton Albion FC         17  17  22  22  66

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 39 (61 - 22); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
39: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 3  -  WELLING UNITED FC 3
 
Match Notes
Burton away. Eduard has made longer journeys for worse outcomes, which is saying something, because this one already feels inevitable in a thermodynamic sort of way.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/18 - 7:30 PM  
Dr White trusts nobody, concedes three anyway. Welling get a point they probably didn't deserve either. A 3-3 in the grand cosmic ledger means absolutely nothing was resolved.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/23 - 7:30 PM  
WEL didn't deserve 3 goals scored, just 2.28
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 9:13 PM  
Annoyingly, BUR only "deserved" 1.47 xG.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 9:15 PM  
 
 
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