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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Singh            5    0    5     Gk Niklas Kaiser          13    0   13
Df Ellis Fisher            7    0    7     Sw Diego Lombardo          5    2    7
Df Mathias Garreau         5    2    7     Mf Arno Christiaens       10    0   10
Df Felipe Cardoso          5    2    7     Df Jake Whyte             10    0   10
Df Graham Sansom           5    0    5     Mf Tivadar Lengyel         6    0    6
Mf Daniel James            6    0    6     Df Arthur East             2    2    4
Mf Martin Kristensen       5    2    7     Mf Diego Ribeiro          12    0   12
Mf Alfredo Vargas          5    2    7     Mf Luis Guerrero           7    0    7
Mf Juan Fernández          2    0    2     Mf Alf Jenssen             5    2    7
Fw Peter East              8    0    8     Fw Gerry Ruddle           10    0   10
Fw Andrew Young            4    0    4     Fw Ryan Clemence           9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  0 26 22 12        ROSTER TOTALS      13  7 14 42 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  0 26 22 12         T O T A L S       13  7 14 42 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.73 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.51 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.22 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.16 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.45 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.55 (no second yellow)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.67 (no red card)

Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.71 (no second yellow)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.47 (no red card)

Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.44 (no red card)

Mf Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.28 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no red card)

Mf Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.75 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.22 (no red card)

Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.67 (no red card)

Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.22 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.86 (no second yellow)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.7 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.66 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.11 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.82 (no injury) 
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.02 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.53 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.05 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.58 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.2 (no injury) 
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.68 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.88 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.51 (no injury) 
Mf Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.52 (no injury) 
Mf Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.72 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no injury) 
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.97 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.38 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.43 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.33 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter East SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 13

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Diego Ribeiro SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 5

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   5   0  26  22  12
  Chasetown FC             13   7  14  42  19

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 14)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 19) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Ellis Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Ellis Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             13   7  14  42  19
  Forest Green Rovers FC   5   0  26  22  12

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 26)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 1 ((14 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Jake Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 66.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 77.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 49.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 76.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 5.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 26.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0  -  CHASETOWN FC 3
 
Match Notes
We want a win from this one....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/01 - 1:23 AM
Think you'll do ok here Paul
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/02 - 9:58 PM
Mr Cockayne sure knows how to beat me though
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/02 - 9:59 PM
Um, facing a lineup like yours, I don't need to know anything!
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/08 - 7:42 PM
 
 
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