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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Singh            7    0    7     Gk Thiago Alves           10    0   10
Df Theo Cole               4    2    6     Sw çngel Gabriel López     5    2    7
Df Andy Rees               4    0    4     Df Oscar Brennan          11    0   11
Df Mathias Garreau         2    2    4     Df Marcelo Fernandez      10    0   10
Df Felipe Cardoso          2    2    4     Df Christopher Macbeth     6    0    6
Mf Conor Farrell           4    2    6     Mf Ollie Ince             12    0   12
Mf Alfredo Vargas          2    2    4     Mf Giles Walsh             5    2    7
Mf Martin Kristensen       2    2    4     Mf Gast?n Franco           5    2    7
Fw Claudio Gentile         7    0    7     Fw Taylor Cockayne        12    0   12
Fw Ashley Lennon           3    0    3     Fw George Shaw            12    0   12
Fw Bernd Peters            3    0    3     Fw Santiago Rubio          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  0 18 14 13        ROSTER TOTALS      10  7 27 26 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  0 18 14 13         T O T A L S       10  7 27 26 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.64 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.78 (no red card)

Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.05 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.81 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.07 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.98 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.3 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.69 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.22 (no red card)

Fw Bernd Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.74 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.33 (no red card)

Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.54 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.89 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.92 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.32 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.49 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.53 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.61 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.91 (no red card)

Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.4 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.53 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.85 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.96 (no injury) 
Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.37 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.15 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.95 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.68 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.21 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.77 (no injury) 
Fw Bernd Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.31 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.92 (no injury) 
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.92 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.33 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.48 (no injury) 
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.87 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Claudio Gentile SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 10

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie Ince SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 7

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   0  18  14  13
  Carlton Town FC          10   7  27  26  31

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 27)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 31) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          10   7  27  26  31
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   0  18  14  13

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (31 - 18); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((26 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Christopher Macbeth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 10.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 82.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 21.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 52.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 7.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 28.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 78.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 2.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 78.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 29.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw George Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 6
 
Match Notes
not sure how this will go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/16 - 9:46 PM
good luck Mike
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/16 - 9:48 PM
 
 
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