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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            15    1   16     Gk Ramon Garcia           11    2   13
Sw Riley O'Brien          13    1   14     Sw Connor Howard           2    2    4
Df Kian Doyle              9    0    9     Df Thiago Carvalho        11    1   12
Df Luke Jackson            6    1    7     Df Kyle Low                6    2    8
Df Oscar Evans             2    2    4     Df Pedro Almeida           2    2    4
Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    0   13     Mf Francisco Alvarez      10    1   11
Mf Henning Pedersen        5    2    7     Mf Laurence Gardner       10    0   10
Fw Bradley McCarthy       13    0   13     Mf Maximillian Hoffmann    2    2    4
Fw Isaac Howells          10    2   12     Fw Billy Arnold            6    2    8
Fw Sheng Hé                6    2    8     Fw Martin Wilkins          6    0    6
Fw Harry Pastor            2    2    4     Fw Tomas Morales           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 20 20 37        ROSTER TOTALS      13  4 24 25 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 20 20 37         T O T A L S       13  7 28 25 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.07 (no red card)

Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.54 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.18 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.5 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.07 (no second yellow)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.9 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.17 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.08 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.1 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.24 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.83 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.91 (no red card)

Sw Connor Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.48 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.8 (no second yellow)

Df Kyle Low: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.27 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.23 (no red card)

Mf Laurence Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.99 (no red card)

Mf Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card)

Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.38 (no red card)

Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.47 (no injury) 
Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.15 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.91 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.23 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.48 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Isaac Howells is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Isaac Howells new match skill level =  5
      Isaac Howells new match total level =  7
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.04 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.53 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.08 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.56 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Low: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.08 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.86 (no injury) 
Mf Laurence Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.9 (no injury) 
Mf Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.78 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.29 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) 
Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Shepherd SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 11

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thiago Carvalho SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 15

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            16  14  20  20  32
  Hyde FC                  13   7  28  25  18

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 4 (32 - 28); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((20 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  13   7  28  25  18
  AFC Wimbledon            16  14  20  20  32

Hyde FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 20)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Laurence Gardner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  HYDE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Dons through. Hyde eliminated.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:22 AM
When the mountains in front of you just keep growing
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/19 - 8:48 AM
Playing for seeding….see if we can’t make hay
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/25 - 5:11 PM
Surprise draw for Hyde. Well take it.
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/26 - 8:17 AM
 
 
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