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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            14    0   14     Gk Archie Brakspear       10    0   10
Sw Riley O'Brien          13    0   13     Sw Denis Pearce           13    0   13
Df Lee Robertson          13    0   13     Df Michio Mori            10    0   10
Df Louis Butler           10    0   10     Df Denis Ward             10    0   10
Df Luke Jackson            5    2    7     Df William Munro           5    2    7
Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16     Mf Danny Monkhouse        10    0   10
Mf Henning Pedersen        5    2    7     Mf Ryan Welbeck            5    2    7
Fw Reuben Thomas          13    0   13     Fw Isaac Fortune-West     12    0   12
Fw Bradley McCarthy       13    0   13     Fw Gustavo Oliveira       12    0   12
Fw Marty Allen            10    0   10     Fw Matthew Peverell       10    0   10
Fw Sheng Hé                5    2    7     Fw Jay Palmer              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 30 23 43        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 27 17 41    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 30 23 43         T O T A L S       10 16 31 17 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no red card)

Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.4 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.13 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.34 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.34 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.9 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.96 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.79 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.38 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.87 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.25 (no red card)

Df Denis Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.09 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.52 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.14 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.92 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.79 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.26 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 57.04 (no injury) 
Sw Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.33 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.19 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.64 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.06 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.99 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.75 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.17 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.66 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.69 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 90.44 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.36 (no injury) 
Df Denis Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.67 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.05 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.63 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.46 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 10

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isaac Fortune-West SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            15  13  30  23  43
  Kingstonian FC           10  16  31  17  41

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 12 (43 - 31); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 11.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 26.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           10  16  31  17  41
  AFC Wimbledon            15  13  30  23  43

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 6 (41 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
We've lost all five of our previous AP Cup matches against Wimbledon and have been outscored 18-3 in the process.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/17 - 10:52 PM
None of the history matters unfortunately
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/18 - 1:12 AM
 
 
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