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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            12    0   12     Gk Gordon Wilkins         12    0   12
Sw Aarron Lowe            14    0   14     Sw Luís Morais            13    0   13
Df Louis Butler           13    0   13     Df Lucas Soramaki         13    0   13
Df Luke Jackson           10    0   10     Df Charles Clarke         11    0   11
Df Oscar Evans             5    2    7     Df Markus Jacobsen        10    0   10
Mf Aarron Shepherd        10    0   10     Mf Niklas König           10    0   10
Mf Manuel Iglesias         5    2    7     Mf Ashton Ali             10    0   10
Fw Marty Allen            15    0   15     Fw Mark Solomon           13    0   13
Fw Isaac Howells          13    0   13     Fw Giorgio Grasso         15    0   15
Fw Carrington Bates        5    2    7     Fw William Hay            10    0   10
Fw Harry Pastor            5    2    7     Fw Angus Williamson        8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 30 17 42        ROSTER TOTALS      12 13 34 20 46    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 30 17 42         T O T A L S       13 13 34 20 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.13 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.19 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.49 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.56 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.14 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.57 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.73 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.04 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.1 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 17.67 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.74 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.32 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.79 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.97 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.09 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Niklas König new match skill level =  5
      Niklas König new match total level =  5

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.85 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.22 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.09 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.57 (no second yellow)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.93 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.18 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.15 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.03 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.59 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.95 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.73 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.05 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 45.25 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.98 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.57 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.24 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.59 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.83 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.68 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.44 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.26 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.73 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Allen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Giorgio Grasso SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            12  15  30  17  42
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   13  13  34  15  46

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 8 (42 - 34); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 1 ((17 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   13  13  34  15  46
  AFC Wimbledon            12  15  30  17  42

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 16 (46 - 30); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 17) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 58.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 56.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
Honest John Holden is never an easy match
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/04 - 4:49 PM
Blast!
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:35 AM
 
 
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